The Wendy's Company

NasdaqGS:WEN Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.5b

Wendy's Valuation

Is WEN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of WEN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$17.77
Fair Value
28.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
24
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: WEN ($12.68) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($17.77)

Significantly Below Fair Value: WEN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for WEN?

Key metric: As WEN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for WEN. This is calculated by dividing WEN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is WEN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.8x
EarningsUS$194.36m
Market CapUS$2.49b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does WEN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for WEN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.6x
CAKE Cheesecake Factory
15.8x11.5%US$2.5b
ARCO Arcos Dorados Holdings
10.6x12.5%US$1.6b
CBRL Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
27x36.0%US$970.0m
CHA Chagee Holdings
17.2xn/aUS$6.0b
WEN Wendy's
12.8x6.5%US$2.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: WEN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.8x) compared to the peer average (17.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does WEN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Hospitality Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
INSE Inspired Entertainment
3.2x-29.6%US$205.82m
No more companies available in this PE range
WEN 12.8xIndustry Avg. 22.0xNo. of Companies16PE01632486480+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: WEN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.8x) compared to the US Hospitality industry average (22x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is WEN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

WEN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.8x
Fair PE Ratio18.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: WEN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst WEN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$12.68
US$17.12
+35.0%
20.6%US$29.00US$14.00n/a24
Apr ’26US$14.72
US$17.47
+18.7%
18.9%US$29.00US$14.00n/a24
Mar ’26US$15.50
US$17.30
+11.6%
19.4%US$29.00US$14.00n/a24
Feb ’26US$14.83
US$18.68
+26.0%
18.2%US$29.00US$14.00n/a24
Jan ’26US$16.30
US$20.49
+25.7%
12.4%US$29.00US$17.00n/a24
Dec ’25US$18.36
US$20.55
+11.9%
12.2%US$29.00US$17.00n/a25
Nov ’25US$19.66
US$20.42
+3.9%
12.5%US$29.00US$17.00n/a25
Oct ’25US$17.66
US$19.60
+11.0%
14.0%US$29.00US$16.00n/a25
Sep ’25US$16.92
US$19.13
+13.0%
10.0%US$26.00US$16.00n/a24
Aug ’25US$16.96
US$19.96
+17.7%
10.3%US$26.00US$16.00n/a24
Jul ’25US$16.43
US$20.73
+26.2%
8.7%US$26.00US$16.00n/a24
Jun ’25US$17.45
US$21.27
+21.9%
10.7%US$29.00US$18.00n/a24
May ’25US$19.62
US$20.84
+6.2%
10.5%US$29.00US$18.00n/a25
Apr ’25US$18.59
US$21.08
+13.4%
11.1%US$29.00US$19.00US$14.7224
Mar ’25US$18.02
US$21.09
+17.0%
11.4%US$29.00US$19.00US$15.5023
Feb ’25US$19.29
US$22.17
+14.9%
9.7%US$29.00US$19.00US$14.8324
Jan ’25US$19.48
US$22.42
+15.1%
11.1%US$29.00US$19.00US$16.3024
Dec ’24US$19.54
US$22.54
+15.4%
11.0%US$29.00US$19.00US$18.3624
Nov ’24US$18.99
US$23.60
+24.3%
12.2%US$31.00US$19.00US$19.6624
Oct ’24US$20.41
US$24.87
+21.8%
9.1%US$31.00US$21.50US$17.6623
Sep ’24US$19.94
US$24.68
+23.8%
8.6%US$31.00US$21.50US$16.9222
Aug ’24US$21.39
US$24.89
+16.3%
7.9%US$29.00US$21.00US$16.9622
Jul ’24US$21.75
US$25.33
+16.4%
8.5%US$29.00US$21.00US$16.4323
Jun ’24US$22.63
US$25.30
+11.8%
8.8%US$29.00US$21.00US$17.4522
May ’24US$22.18
US$24.87
+12.1%
9.2%US$29.00US$20.00US$19.6223
Apr ’24US$21.78
US$24.87
+14.2%
8.9%US$29.00US$20.00US$18.5923
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 24 Analysts
US$17.12
Fair Value
25.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
24
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/04/21 14:53
End of Day Share Price 2025/04/17 00:00
Earnings2024/12/29
Annual Earnings2024/12/29

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

The Wendy's Company is covered by 49 analysts. 23 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John StaszakArgus Research Company
Jeffrey BernsteinBarclays
Jeffrey BernsteinBarclays