Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NYSE:NCLH) With Shares Advancing 28%

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NYSE:NCLH

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NYSE:NCLH) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 28% gain in the last month alone. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 83% in the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, there still wouldn't be many who think Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.2x is worth a mention when the median P/S in the United States' Hospitality industry is similar at about 1.5x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

See our latest analysis for Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings

NYSE:NCLH Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 1st 2024

What Does Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S ratio from falling. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.

Keen to find out how analysts think Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 16% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, aided by its incredible short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 9.1% per annum over the next three years. With the industry predicted to deliver 12% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

In light of this, it's curious that Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What Does Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings' stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Given that Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings' revenue growth projections are relatively subdued in comparison to the wider industry, it comes as a surprise to see it trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (1 is potentially serious!) that we have uncovered.

If you're unsure about the strength of Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.