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Vail Resorts NYSE:MTN Stock Report

Last Price

US$184.32

Market Cap

US$6.8b

7D

-3.2%

1Y

-17.1%

Updated

20 Dec, 2024

Data

Company Financials +

Vail Resorts, Inc.

NYSE:MTN Stock Report

Market Cap: US$6.8b

MTN Stock Overview

Through its subsidiaries, operates mountain resorts and regional ski areas in the United States and internationally. More details

MTN fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation2/6
Future Growth2/6
Past Performance3/6
Financial Health2/6
Dividends3/6

Rewards

Trading at 34.8% below our estimate of its fair value

Earnings are forecast to grow 13.2% per year

Earnings have grown 11.4% per year over the past 5 years

Risk Analysis

Dividend of 4.82% is not well covered by earnings or free cash flows

Has a high level of debt

Significant insider selling over the past 3 months


My Notes

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Community Narratives

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WA
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 12 Analysts

Transformation Plan And My Epic Gear App To Drive Earnings Growth At Whistler Blackcomb

Key Takeaways The resource efficiency transformation plan and strong season pass sales are expected to improve net margins, earnings, and revenue growth. Capital investments and digital enhancements aim to boost guest experiences, increasing long-term revenue and operating efficiency.
View narrative
US$202.00
FV
8.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
4.77%
Revenue growth p.a.
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2 days ago author updated this narrative

Vail Resorts, Inc. Competitors

Planet Fitness

NYSE:PLNT

US$8.4b

Life Time Group Holdings

NYSE:LTH

US$4.6b

United Parks & Resorts

NYSE:PRKS

US$2.9b

Dave & Buster's Entertainment

NasdaqGS:PLAY

US$1.0b

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Vail Resorts
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$184.32
52 Week HighUS$236.92
52 Week LowUS$165.00
Beta1.15
1 Month Change4.27%
3 Month Change-0.37%
1 Year Change-17.10%
3 Year Change-44.52%
5 Year Change-23.94%
Change since IPO719.20%

Recent News & Updates

Vail Resorts: Shares Are Worth Considering On Better Results, Higher Guidance

Dec 10

We Think The Compensation For Vail Resorts, Inc.'s (NYSE:MTN) CEO Looks About Right

Nov 29
We Think The Compensation For Vail Resorts, Inc.'s (NYSE:MTN) CEO Looks About Right

Recent updates

Vail Resorts: Shares Are Worth Considering On Better Results, Higher Guidance

Dec 10

We Think The Compensation For Vail Resorts, Inc.'s (NYSE:MTN) CEO Looks About Right

Nov 29
We Think The Compensation For Vail Resorts, Inc.'s (NYSE:MTN) CEO Looks About Right

Is Vail Resorts, Inc. (NYSE:MTN) Trading At A 33% Discount?

Nov 04
Is Vail Resorts, Inc. (NYSE:MTN) Trading At A 33% Discount?

Vail Resorts: Bet On This Turnaround Plan And Collect A 5%+ Yield While Waiting

Oct 27

Vail Resorts (NYSE:MTN) Has More To Do To Multiply In Value Going Forward

Oct 22
Vail Resorts (NYSE:MTN) Has More To Do To Multiply In Value Going Forward

Vail Resorts: Strategic Transformation Amidst Weather Woes And Market Pressures

Sep 27

Vail Resorts, Inc. (NYSE:MTN) Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

Sep 23
Vail Resorts, Inc. (NYSE:MTN) Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

Vail Resorts: Poised For A Strong Rebound With Improved Ski Conditions Next Year

Sep 08

Here's Why Vail Resorts (NYSE:MTN) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Aug 28
Here's Why Vail Resorts (NYSE:MTN) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Is There Now An Opportunity In Vail Resorts, Inc. (NYSE:MTN)?

Jul 29
Is There Now An Opportunity In Vail Resorts, Inc. (NYSE:MTN)?

Returns On Capital At Vail Resorts (NYSE:MTN) Have Stalled

Jul 15
Returns On Capital At Vail Resorts (NYSE:MTN) Have Stalled

Vail Resorts, Inc.'s (NYSE:MTN) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 29% Above Its Share Price

Jul 01
Vail Resorts, Inc.'s (NYSE:MTN) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 29% Above Its Share Price

Vail Resorts: No Positive Developments In Sight

Jun 19

Vail Resorts: With Yields Approaching 5%, Buy And Look Ahead To Next Season

Jun 07

Why We're Not Concerned About Vail Resorts, Inc.'s (NYSE:MTN) Share Price

Jun 05
Why We're Not Concerned About Vail Resorts, Inc.'s (NYSE:MTN) Share Price

Vail Resorts: Attractive 4.6% Yield With Growth Potential

May 01

Should You Investigate Vail Resorts, Inc. (NYSE:MTN) At US$227?

Apr 15
Should You Investigate Vail Resorts, Inc. (NYSE:MTN) At US$227?

Investors Can Find Comfort In Vail Resorts' (NYSE:MTN) Earnings Quality

Mar 18
Investors Can Find Comfort In Vail Resorts' (NYSE:MTN) Earnings Quality

Vail Resorts (NYSE:MTN) Is Increasing Its Dividend To $2.22

Mar 15
Vail Resorts (NYSE:MTN) Is Increasing Its Dividend To $2.22

Earnings Report: Vail Resorts, Inc. Missed Revenue Estimates By 6.5%

Mar 14
Earnings Report: Vail Resorts, Inc. Missed Revenue Estimates By 6.5%

We Think Vail Resorts (NYSE:MTN) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

Mar 11
We Think Vail Resorts (NYSE:MTN) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

Vail Resorts: Optimism Remains Heading Into Q2 Earnings

Mar 08

Vail Resorts, Inc.'s (NYSE:MTN) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 26% Above Its Share Price

Feb 26
Vail Resorts, Inc.'s (NYSE:MTN) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 26% Above Its Share Price

What You Can Learn From Vail Resorts, Inc.'s (NYSE:MTN) P/E

Feb 12
What You Can Learn From Vail Resorts, Inc.'s (NYSE:MTN) P/E

Vail Resorts: Waiting For Q2 Performance Before Deciding FY24 Guidance Is Plausible

Jan 10

We Still Like Vail Resorts At This Level

Dec 07

Vail Resorts: 2 Days Before Earnings, We Lean Bullish

Sep 26

Vail Resorts: Still An Uplifting Prospect With An Opportunity For Stronger Performance Ahead

Aug 12

Hit The Bullish Slopes With Vail Resorts

May 30

Shareholder Returns

MTNUS HospitalityUS Market
7D-3.2%-4.7%-3.5%
1Y-17.1%23.4%22.1%

Return vs Industry: MTN underperformed the US Hospitality industry which returned 23.4% over the past year.

Return vs Market: MTN underperformed the US Market which returned 22.1% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is MTN's price volatile compared to industry and market?
MTN volatility
MTN Average Weekly Movement4.5%
Hospitality Industry Average Movement5.7%
Market Average Movement6.3%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market17.0%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.1%

Stable Share Price: MTN has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: MTN's weekly volatility (4%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
19627,600Kirsten Lynchwww.vailresorts.com

Vail Resorts, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates mountain resorts and regional ski areas in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Mountain, Lodging, and Real Estate. The Mountain segment operates destination mountain resorts and regional ski areas.

Vail Resorts, Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do Vail Resorts's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
MTN fundamental statistics
Market capUS$6.80b
Earnings (TTM)US$233.08m
Revenue (TTM)US$2.89b

29.6x

P/E Ratio

2.4x

P/S Ratio

Is MTN overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
MTN income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$2.89b
Cost of RevenueUS$1.61b
Gross ProfitUS$1.28b
Other ExpensesUS$1.04b
EarningsUS$233.08m

Last Reported Earnings

Oct 31, 2024

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)6.23
Gross Margin44.20%
Net Profit Margin8.07%
Debt/Equity Ratio317.8%

How did MTN perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

4.8%

Current Dividend Yield

141%

Payout Ratio

Does MTN pay a reliable dividends?

See MTN dividend history and benchmarks
When do you need to buy MTN by to receive an upcoming dividend?
Vail Resorts dividend dates
Ex Dividend DateDec 26 2024
Dividend Pay DateJan 09 2025
Days until Ex dividend5 days
Days until Dividend pay date19 days

Does MTN pay a reliable dividends?

See MTN dividend history and benchmarks

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/20 23:19
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/10/31
Annual Earnings2024/07/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Vail Resorts, Inc. is covered by 31 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Fred LowranceAvondale Partners
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Felicia Kantor HendrixBarclays