Stock Analysis

Uncovering 3 US Stocks That May Be Trading Below Their Estimated Value

Published

As the U.S. stock market experiences mixed performances following a post-election rally that has begun to lose momentum, investors are recalibrating their expectations amid fluctuating interest rates and inflation data. In such an environment, identifying stocks that may be trading below their estimated value can offer potential opportunities for those looking to capitalize on market inefficiencies.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In The United States

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
UMB Financial (NasdaqGS:UMBF)$123.80$245.8749.6%
NBT Bancorp (NasdaqGS:NBTB)$50.32$99.9349.6%
Business First Bancshares (NasdaqGS:BFST)$28.58$55.5848.6%
Five Star Bancorp (NasdaqGS:FSBC)$32.78$63.9348.7%
XPEL (NasdaqCM:XPEL)$45.62$91.0349.9%
West Bancorporation (NasdaqGS:WTBA)$23.98$46.8648.8%
Pinterest (NYSE:PINS)$29.98$59.5349.6%
Privia Health Group (NasdaqGS:PRVA)$21.84$43.1649.4%
South Atlantic Bancshares (OTCPK:SABK)$15.36$30.2849.3%
Carter Bankshares (NasdaqGS:CARE)$19.56$38.2848.9%

Click here to see the full list of 197 stocks from our Undervalued US Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Let's dive into some prime choices out of the screener.

Genius Sports (NYSE:GENI)

Overview: Genius Sports Limited develops and sells technology-driven products and services for the sports, sports betting, and sports media industries, with a market cap of approximately $1.98 billion.

Operations: Genius Sports Limited generates revenue through its technology-led offerings tailored for the sports, sports betting, and sports media sectors.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 27.7%

Genius Sports is currently trading at US$9.59, below its estimated fair value of US$13.26, suggesting it may be undervalued based on discounted cash flows. Recently, the company reported a net income of US$12.51 million for Q3 2024, reversing a prior year's loss. Revenue growth is forecasted at 15% annually, outpacing the broader U.S. market's growth rate and indicating potential for future profitability within three years despite low projected return on equity.

NYSE:GENI Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2024

Annaly Capital Management (NYSE:NLY)

Overview: Annaly Capital Management, Inc. is a diversified capital manager specializing in mortgage finance with a market capitalization of approximately $10.92 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue primarily comes from mortgage-backed securities, totaling $369.37 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 42.2%

Annaly Capital Management trades at US$19.62, significantly below its estimated fair value of US$33.92, highlighting potential undervaluation based on cash flows. The company reported a Q3 2024 net income of US$66.45 million, a turnaround from last year's loss, with revenue growth expected to surpass the market at 82.6% annually over the next three years. However, dividend sustainability is questionable as payouts exceed earnings and free cash flow coverage remains weak amidst ongoing shareholder dilution and debt challenges.

NYSE:NLY Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2024

On Holding (NYSE:ONON)

Overview: On Holding AG is a company that develops and distributes sports products globally, with a market capitalization of approximately $16.84 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue segments include footwear at CHF 1.12 billion and apparel and accessories at CHF 0.11 billion.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 14.4%

On Holding AG, trading at $52.71, is undervalued compared to its estimated fair value of $61.59. The company reported a Q3 2024 net income drop to CHF 30.5 million from CHF 58.7 million last year, despite sales growth to CHF 635.8 million from CHF 480.5 million. Earnings are forecasted to grow significantly at 29.72% annually, outpacing the US market's growth rate and indicating potential for future cash flow-driven valuation improvements despite current earnings volatility.

NYSE:ONON Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2024

Summing It All Up

Contemplating Other Strategies?

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

New: AI Stock Screener & Alerts

Our new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.

• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)
• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying
• High growth Tech and AI Companies

Or build your own from over 50 metrics.

Explore Now for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com