Stock Analysis

First High-School Education Group Co., Ltd. (NYSE:FHS) Surges 29% Yet Its Low P/E Is No Reason For Excitement

OTCPK:FHSE.Y
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First High-School Education Group Co., Ltd. (NYSE:FHS) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 29% after a shaky period beforehand. Longer-term shareholders would be thankful for the recovery in the share price since it's now virtually flat for the year after the recent bounce.

Although its price has surged higher, given close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 20x, you may still consider First High-School Education Group as an attractive investment with its 14.3x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, First High-School Education Group has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

View our latest analysis for First High-School Education Group

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NYSE:FHS Price Based on Past Earnings June 12th 2021
Keen to find out how analysts think First High-School Education Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like First High-School Education Group's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 155%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 65% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with earnings decreasing 47% as estimated by the sole analyst watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 17% growth , that's a disappointing outcome.

With this information, we are not surprised that First High-School Education Group is trading at a P/E lower than the market. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

The Final Word

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift First High-School Education Group's P/E close to the market median. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of First High-School Education Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking earnings is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for First High-School Education Group (1 can't be ignored!) that we have uncovered.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a P/E below 20x.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About OTCPK:FHSE.Y

First High-School Education Group

First High-School Education Group Co., Ltd.

Good value with adequate balance sheet.

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