Stock Analysis

Improved Earnings Required Before Boyd Gaming Corporation (NYSE:BYD) Shares Find Their Feet

NYSE:BYD
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When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 17x, you may consider Boyd Gaming Corporation (NYSE:BYD) as an attractive investment with its 8.9x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Boyd Gaming certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings are going to fall away like everyone else's soon. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Boyd Gaming

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:BYD Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry January 9th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Boyd Gaming.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Boyd Gaming's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 31% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, EPS has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with earnings decreasing 6.8% as estimated by the twelve analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the broader market is forecast to expand by 9.9%, which paints a poor picture.

In light of this, it's understandable that Boyd Gaming's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

The Key Takeaway

We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Boyd Gaming maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Boyd Gaming (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Boyd Gaming is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.