Boyd Gaming Valuation

Is BYD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BYD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BYD ($71.76) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($116.08)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BYD is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BYD?

Key metric: As BYD is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BYD. This is calculated by dividing BYD's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BYD's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.7x
EarningsUS$500.05m
Market CapUS$6.32b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BYD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BYD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average39.9x
RRR Red Rock Resorts
17.9x11.2%US$5.2b
LNW Light & Wonder
27.7x22.1%US$8.1b
IGT International Game Technology
30x22.4%US$3.8b
SRAD Sportradar Group
84x34.3%US$5.2b
BYD Boyd Gaming
12.7x5.6%US$6.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BYD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.7x) compared to the peer average (39.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BYD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Hospitality Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GDHG Golden Heaven Group Holdings
3.5xn/aUS$6.01m
THRS.F Agility Real Estate
1.7xn/aUS$2.05m
No more companies available in this PE range
BYD 12.7xIndustry Avg. 24.4xNo. of Companies15PE01632486480+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BYD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.7x) compared to the US Hospitality industry average (24.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BYD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BYD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.7x
Fair PE Ratio19.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BYD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BYD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$71.76
US$74.79
+4.2%
5.6%US$82.00US$69.00n/a14
Nov ’25US$68.66
US$74.86
+9.0%
5.6%US$82.00US$69.00n/a14
Oct ’25US$63.90
US$70.50
+10.3%
5.4%US$78.00US$66.00n/a14
Sep ’25US$60.02
US$69.64
+16.0%
5.5%US$78.00US$66.00n/a14
Aug ’25US$57.78
US$69.64
+20.5%
5.5%US$78.00US$66.00n/a14
Jul ’25US$53.77
US$69.79
+29.8%
5.8%US$78.00US$65.00n/a14
Jun ’25US$53.32
US$69.79
+30.9%
5.8%US$78.00US$65.00n/a14
May ’25US$53.35
US$70.73
+32.6%
6.3%US$78.00US$65.00n/a14
Apr ’25US$67.67
US$76.44
+13.0%
5.8%US$82.00US$69.00n/a14
Mar ’25US$64.88
US$76.17
+17.4%
6.1%US$82.00US$69.00n/a12
Feb ’25US$64.49
US$74.08
+14.9%
7.4%US$84.00US$67.00n/a12
Jan ’25US$62.61
US$75.42
+20.5%
7.9%US$84.00US$66.00n/a12
Dec ’24US$61.03
US$75.33
+23.4%
7.3%US$84.00US$67.00n/a12
Nov ’24US$54.77
US$75.33
+37.5%
7.3%US$84.00US$67.00US$68.6612
Oct ’24US$60.83
US$80.08
+31.7%
4.2%US$85.00US$75.00US$63.9012
Sep ’24US$67.63
US$80.08
+18.4%
4.2%US$85.00US$75.00US$60.0212
Aug ’24US$67.97
US$80.00
+17.7%
4.2%US$85.00US$75.00US$57.7813
Jul ’24US$69.37
US$78.71
+13.5%
5.6%US$85.00US$69.00US$53.7714
Jun ’24US$64.33
US$78.43
+21.9%
6.5%US$85.00US$65.00US$53.3214
May ’24US$71.28
US$78.14
+9.6%
7.1%US$85.00US$65.00US$53.3514
Apr ’24US$64.12
US$73.23
+14.2%
8.9%US$81.00US$60.00US$67.6713
Mar ’24US$65.09
US$73.00
+12.2%
8.6%US$81.00US$60.00US$64.8814
Feb ’24US$62.35
US$69.29
+11.1%
10.6%US$82.00US$55.00US$64.4914
Jan ’24US$54.53
US$67.83
+24.4%
10.1%US$79.00US$54.00US$62.6112
Dec ’23US$60.87
US$67.62
+11.1%
9.8%US$79.00US$54.00US$61.0313
Nov ’23US$58.42
US$68.75
+17.7%
8.1%US$79.00US$60.00US$54.7712

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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