Super Group (SGHC) Limited

NYSE:SGHC Stock Report

Market Cap: US$4.4b

Super Group (SGHC) Valuation

Is SGHC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SGHC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$16.39
Fair Value
46.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
6
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: SGHC ($8.74) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($16.39)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SGHC is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SGHC?

Key metric: As SGHC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SGHC. This is calculated by dividing SGHC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SGHC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio32.3x
EarningsUS$136.24m
Market CapUS$4.40b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SGHC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SGHC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.1x
BYD Boyd Gaming
11x-0.30%US$6.1b
RRR Red Rock Resorts
18.3x8.82%US$4.9b
LNW Light & Wonder
22.6x18.87%US$7.6b
CHDN Churchill Downs
16.3x12.39%US$6.9b
SGHC Super Group (SGHC)
32.3x23.13%US$4.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SGHC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.3x) compared to the peer average (17.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SGHC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Hospitality Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
INSE Inspired Entertainment
3x-59.50%US$210.45m
No more companies available in this PE range
SGHC 32.3xIndustry Avg. 22.6xNo. of Companies16PE01632486480+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SGHC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.3x) compared to the US Hospitality industry average (22.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SGHC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SGHC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio32.3x
Fair PE Ratio28.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SGHC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SGHC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$8.74
US$11.50
+31.58%
13.04%US$14.00US$9.00n/a6
May ’26US$8.14
US$10.60
+30.22%
9.62%US$12.00US$9.00n/a5
Apr ’26US$6.57
US$10.60
+61.34%
9.62%US$12.00US$9.00n/a5
Mar ’26US$7.51
US$11.00
+46.47%
6.43%US$12.00US$10.00n/a4
Feb ’26US$8.09
US$10.00
+23.61%
7.07%US$11.00US$9.00n/a4
Jan ’26US$6.23
US$7.75
+24.40%
21.15%US$9.00US$5.00n/a4
Dec ’25US$6.65
US$6.25
-6.02%
13.27%US$7.00US$5.00n/a4
Nov ’25US$4.08
US$5.33
+30.72%
8.84%US$6.00US$5.00n/a3
Oct ’25US$3.74
US$5.33
+42.60%
8.84%US$6.00US$5.00n/a3
Sep ’25US$3.45
US$5.33
+54.59%
8.84%US$6.00US$5.00n/a3
Aug ’25US$3.77
US$5.33
+41.47%
8.84%US$6.00US$5.00n/a3
Jul ’25US$3.31
US$5.33
+61.13%
8.84%US$6.00US$5.00n/a3
Jun ’25US$3.63
US$5.33
+46.92%
8.84%US$6.00US$5.00US$8.743
May ’25US$3.26
US$5.33
+63.60%
8.84%US$6.00US$5.00US$8.143
Apr ’25US$3.33
US$5.33
+60.16%
8.84%US$6.00US$5.00US$6.573
Mar ’25US$3.26
US$4.83
+48.26%
4.88%US$5.00US$4.50US$7.513
Feb ’25US$3.21
US$4.83
+50.57%
4.88%US$5.00US$4.50US$8.093
Jan ’25US$3.17
US$4.83
+52.47%
4.88%US$5.00US$4.50US$6.233
Dec ’24US$3.06
US$4.83
+57.95%
4.88%US$5.00US$4.50US$6.653
Nov ’24US$3.63
US$4.83
+33.15%
4.88%US$5.00US$4.50US$4.083
Oct ’24US$3.69
US$4.83
+30.98%
4.88%US$5.00US$4.50US$3.743
Sep ’24US$3.87
US$4.83
+24.89%
4.88%US$5.00US$4.50US$3.453
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts
US$11.50
Fair Value
24.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
6
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

Discover undervalued companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/06/02 17:24
End of Day Share Price 2025/05/30 00:00
Earnings2025/03/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Super Group (SGHC) Limited is covered by 8 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Michael HickeyBenchmark Company
William LampenBTIG
Jason Ross TilchenCanaccord Genuity