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Bowlero Corp.'s (NYSE:BOWL) Shareholders Might Be Looking For Exit
There wouldn't be many who think Bowlero Corp.'s (NYSE:BOWL) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.5x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Hospitality industry in the United States is similar at about 1.2x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
See our latest analysis for Bowlero
How Bowlero Has Been Performing
Recent times haven't been great for Bowlero as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance will turn around. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.
Keen to find out how analysts think Bowlero's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Bowlero?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Bowlero would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. Despite the lack of growth, the company was still able to deliver immense revenue growth over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company, but investors will want to ask why it has slowed to such an extent.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 7.7% per year as estimated by the ten analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 11% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Bowlero's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Key Takeaway
We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our look at the analysts forecasts of Bowlero's revenue prospects has shown that its inferior revenue outlook isn't negatively impacting its P/S as much as we would have predicted. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.
It is also worth noting that we have found 4 warning signs for Bowlero (1 is concerning!) that you need to take into consideration.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Bowlero might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:BOWL
Bowlero
Operates bowling entertainment centers under the AMF, Bowlmor Lanes, and Bowlero brand names.
Undervalued slight.