Stock Analysis

WW International, Inc. (NASDAQ:WW) Stock Catapults 54% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Industry

NasdaqGS:WW
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WW International, Inc. (NASDAQ:WW) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 54% gain and recovering from prior weakness. But the last month did very little to improve the 91% share price decline over the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, given about half the companies operating in the United States' Consumer Services industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.4x, you may still consider WW International as an attractive investment with its 0.1x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for WW International

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:WW Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 9th 2024

How Has WW International Performed Recently?

WW International could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on WW International will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is WW International's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like WW International's to be considered reasonable.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 12%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 36% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 9.4% as estimated by the five analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 15%, which paints a poor picture.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that WW International's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

The Key Takeaway

Despite WW International's share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

With revenue forecasts that are inferior to the rest of the industry, it's no surprise that WW International's P/S is on the lower end of the spectrum. As other companies in the industry are forecasting revenue growth, WW International's poor outlook justifies its low P/S ratio. Unless there's material change, it's hard to envision a situation where the stock price will rise drastically.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for WW International (2 are concerning) you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if WW International might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.