Stock Analysis

QuantaSing Group Limited (NASDAQ:QSG) Looks Inexpensive After Falling 48% But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough

NasdaqGM:QSG
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The QuantaSing Group Limited (NASDAQ:QSG) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 48%. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 82% share price decline.

Since its price has dipped substantially, considering around half the companies operating in the United States' Consumer Services industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.5x, you may consider QuantaSing Group as an solid investment opportunity with its 0.2x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for QuantaSing Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGM:QSG Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 13th 2024

How Has QuantaSing Group Performed Recently?

QuantaSing Group certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on QuantaSing Group will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as QuantaSing Group's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 26% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 106% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 12% over the next year. With the industry predicted to deliver 15% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this information, we can see why QuantaSing Group is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From QuantaSing Group's P/S?

QuantaSing Group's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Consumer Services companies. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that QuantaSing Group maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 3 warning signs for QuantaSing Group that you need to be mindful of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether QuantaSing Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.