Stock Analysis

Should You Be Adding Penn National Gaming (NASDAQ:PENN) To Your Watchlist Today?

NasdaqGS:PENN
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It's only natural that many investors, especially those who are new to the game, prefer to buy shares in 'sexy' stocks with a good story, even if those businesses lose money. But the reality is that when a company loses money each year, for long enough, its investors will usually take their share of those losses.

So if you're like me, you might be more interested in profitable, growing companies, like Penn National Gaming (NASDAQ:PENN). While profit is not necessarily a social good, it's easy to admire a business that can consistently produce it. Loss-making companies are always racing against time to reach financial sustainability, but time is often a friend of the profitable company, especially if it is growing.

View our latest analysis for Penn National Gaming

Penn National Gaming's Earnings Per Share Are Growing.

If you believe that markets are even vaguely efficient, then over the long term you'd expect a company's share price to follow its earnings per share (EPS). Therefore, there are plenty of investors who like to buy shares in companies that are growing EPS. Who among us would not applaud Penn National Gaming's stratospheric annual EPS growth of 39%, compound, over the last three years? While that sort of growth rate isn't sustainable for long, it certainly catches my attention; like a crow with a sparkly stone.

One way to double-check a company's growth is to look at how its revenue, and earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) margins are changing. Penn National Gaming shareholders can take confidence from the fact that EBIT margins are up from 10% to 19%, and revenue is growing. Ticking those two boxes is a good sign of growth, in my book.

The chart below shows how the company's bottom and top lines have progressed over time. Click on the chart to see the exact numbers.

earnings-and-revenue-history
NasdaqGS:PENN Earnings and Revenue History May 13th 2022

Fortunately, we've got access to analyst forecasts of Penn National Gaming's future profits. You can do your own forecasts without looking, or you can take a peek at what the professionals are predicting.

Are Penn National Gaming Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

Like that fresh smell in the air when the rains are coming, insider buying fills me with optimistic anticipation. That's because insider buying often indicates that those closest to the company have confidence that the share price will perform well. However, small purchases are not always indicative of conviction, and insiders don't always get it right.

Like a sturdy phalanx Penn National Gaming insiders have stood united by refusing to sell shares over the last year. But the bigger deal is that the Independent Director, Jane Scaccetti, paid US$98k to buy shares at an average price of US$49.71.

Along with the insider buying, another encouraging sign for Penn National Gaming is that insiders, as a group, have a considerable shareholding. Given insiders own a small fortune of shares, currently valued at US$85m, they have plenty of motivation to push the business to succeed. That's certainly enough to make me think that management will be very focussed on long term growth.

Is Penn National Gaming Worth Keeping An Eye On?

Penn National Gaming's earnings have taken off like any random crypto-currency did, back in 2017. The incing on the cake is that insiders own a large chunk of the company and one has even been buying more shares. This quick rundown suggests that the business may be of good quality, and also at an inflection point, so maybe Penn National Gaming deserves timely attention. It's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Penn National Gaming , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. So if you like the sound of Penn National Gaming, you'll probably love this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.