Stock Analysis

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By PENN Entertainment, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:PENN) Low P/S

NasdaqGS:PENN
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PENN Entertainment, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:PENN) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x may look like a pretty appealing investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Hospitality industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 1.3x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

See our latest analysis for PENN Entertainment

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:PENN Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 22nd 2024

How PENN Entertainment Has Been Performing

PENN Entertainment could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. Perhaps the market is expecting the current trend of poor revenue growth to continue, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on PENN Entertainment will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

PENN Entertainment's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 2.6% last year. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 68% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 5.9% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 13% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's understandable that PENN Entertainment's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Final Word

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of PENN Entertainment's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Having said that, be aware PENN Entertainment is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.