Stock Analysis

OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited's (NASDAQ:OSW) Shares May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon

NasdaqCM:OSW
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There wouldn't be many who think OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited's (NASDAQ:OSW) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.8x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Consumer Services industry in the United States is similar at about 1.4x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

See our latest analysis for OneSpaWorld Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:OSW Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 2nd 2024

How OneSpaWorld Holdings Has Been Performing

OneSpaWorld Holdings certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S ratio from rising. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think OneSpaWorld Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like OneSpaWorld Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 66% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 199% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the five analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 8.0% per annum over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 14% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we find it interesting that OneSpaWorld Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Bottom Line On OneSpaWorld Holdings' P/S

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our look at the analysts forecasts of OneSpaWorld Holdings' revenue prospects has shown that its inferior revenue outlook isn't negatively impacting its P/S as much as we would have predicted. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with OneSpaWorld Holdings, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on OneSpaWorld Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.