Stock Analysis

Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Marriott International, Inc. (NASDAQ:MAR)?

NasdaqGS:MAR
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Let's talk about the popular Marriott International, Inc. (NASDAQ:MAR). The company's shares led the NASDAQGS gainers with a relatively large price hike in the past couple of weeks. As a large-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Today I will analyse the most recent data on Marriott International’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

View our latest analysis for Marriott International

What's The Opportunity In Marriott International?

According to my valuation model, Marriott International seems to be fairly priced at around 10% below my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Marriott International today, you’d be paying a fair price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is $231.90, then there’s not much of an upside to gain from mispricing. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Marriott International’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.

What does the future of Marriott International look like?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:MAR Earnings and Revenue Growth August 14th 2023

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Marriott International's earnings growth are expected to be in the teens in the upcoming years, indicating a solid future ahead. This should lead to robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? MAR’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on MAR, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Marriott International at this point in time. You'd be interested to know, that we found 2 warning signs for Marriott International and you'll want to know about them.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.