Stock Analysis

El Pollo Loco Holdings (NASDAQ:LOCO) Could Be Struggling To Allocate Capital

NasdaqGS:LOCO
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Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key financial metrics. Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. Having said that, from a first glance at El Pollo Loco Holdings (NASDAQ:LOCO) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for El Pollo Loco Holdings, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.057 = US$30m ÷ (US$597m - US$69m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).

Thus, El Pollo Loco Holdings has an ROCE of 5.7%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Hospitality industry average of 9.8%.

See our latest analysis for El Pollo Loco Holdings

roce
NasdaqGS:LOCO Return on Capital Employed March 31st 2023

Above you can see how the current ROCE for El Pollo Loco Holdings compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering El Pollo Loco Holdings here for free.

What Does the ROCE Trend For El Pollo Loco Holdings Tell Us?

In terms of El Pollo Loco Holdings' historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 11% over the last five years. On the other hand, the company has been employing more capital without a corresponding improvement in sales in the last year, which could suggest these investments are longer term plays. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.

The Bottom Line On El Pollo Loco Holdings' ROCE

To conclude, we've found that El Pollo Loco Holdings is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. And investors may be recognizing these trends since the stock has only returned a total of 8.5% to shareholders over the last five years. So if you're looking for a multi-bagger, the underlying trends indicate you may have better chances elsewhere.

Like most companies, El Pollo Loco Holdings does come with some risks, and we've found 1 warning sign that you should be aware of.

While El Pollo Loco Holdings may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if El Pollo Loco Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.