First Watch Restaurant Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

First Watch Restaurant Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 18.4% and 12.8% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 16.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 9.4% in 3 years.

Key information

18.4%

Earnings growth rate

16.3%

EPS growth rate

Hospitality earnings growth	19.7%
Revenue growth rate	12.8%
Future return on equity	9.4%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	29 Apr 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:FWRG) Share Price Matching Investor Opinion

Apr 25

Is There Now An Opportunity In First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:FWRG)?

Apr 02

The Return Trends At First Watch Restaurant Group (NASDAQ:FWRG) Look Promising

Feb 28

First Watch: Great Restaurant Concept, But An Equal Valuation

Feb 21

We Ran A Stock Scan For Earnings Growth And First Watch Restaurant Group (NASDAQ:FWRG) Passed With Ease

Jan 23

Investors Holding Back On First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:FWRG)

Dec 23

When Should You Buy First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:FWRG)?

Dec 03

Here's Why We Think First Watch Restaurant Group (NASDAQ:FWRG) Is Well Worth Watching

Oct 13

The Return Trends At First Watch Restaurant Group (NASDAQ:FWRG) Look Promising

Aug 24

Returns On Capital Are Showing Encouraging Signs At First Watch Restaurant Group (NASDAQ:FWRG)

Apr 08

First Watch Restaurant Group: Undervalued Rare Asset With Significant Growth Potential

Jul 20

First Watch: Another Solid Quarter For This Small-Cap Growth Story

Jun 02

The Strong Earnings Posted By First Watch Restaurant Group (NASDAQ:FWRG) Are A Good Indication Of The Strength Of The Business

May 18

First Watch Restaurant Group: Waiting For Profitability

Apr 07

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:FWRG)

Jan 08

First Watch: Phenomenal Growth, But At A Price

Dec 26

First Watch Restaurant Group Stock: Watching, Not Investing

Oct 10

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:FWRG - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	1,391	44	26	N/A	3
12/31/2025	1,212	37	-5	123	8
12/31/2024	1,052	28	-33	101	7
12/31/2023	892	25	11	95	N/A
9/24/2023	833	22	19	89	N/A
6/25/2023	800	17	21	87	N/A
3/26/2023	768	12	10	76	N/A
12/25/2022	730	7	0	63	N/A
9/25/2022	707	3	11	65	N/A
6/26/2022	678	3	21	64	N/A
3/27/2022	647	5	29	65	N/A
12/26/2021	601	-2	27	63	N/A
9/26/2021	548	-5	14	46	N/A
6/27/2021	490	-16	5	32	N/A
3/28/2021	403	-36	-30	-3	N/A
12/27/2020	342	-50	-45	-18	N/A
12/29/2019	436	-45	-38	21	N/A
12/30/2018	350	-12	-7	31	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: FWRG's forecast earnings growth (18.4% per year) is above the savings rate (2.4%).

Earnings vs Market: FWRG's earnings (18.4% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (14.1% per year).

High Growth Earnings: FWRG's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: FWRG's revenue (12.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (8.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: FWRG's revenue (12.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: FWRG's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (9.4%).

First Watch Restaurant Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Price target increased by 18% to US$27.89

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. Updates Earnings Guidance for the 53-Week Fiscal Year Ended December 31, 2023

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 23%

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. Updates Revenue Guidance for the 53-Week Fiscal Year Ended December 31, 2023

Price target increased by 8.3% to US$23.11

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 14%

Recent updates

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:FWRG) Share Price Matching Investor Opinion

Independent Director notifies of intention to sell stock

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on May 07, 2024

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc., Annual General Meeting, May 22, 2024

Is There Now An Opportunity In First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:FWRG)?

CEO, President & Director recently sold US$537k worth of stock

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. has filed a Follow-on Equity Offering.

Chief Brand Officer exercised options and sold US$227k worth of stock

Price target increased by 18% to US$27.89

Full year 2023 earnings: Revenues and EPS in line with analyst expectations

The Return Trends At First Watch Restaurant Group (NASDAQ:FWRG) Look Promising

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Mar 05, 2024

First Watch: Great Restaurant Concept, But An Equal Valuation

Independent Director recently sold US$308k worth of stock

We Ran A Stock Scan For Earnings Growth And First Watch Restaurant Group (NASDAQ:FWRG) Passed With Ease

Investors Holding Back On First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:FWRG)

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc Appoints Jostein Solheim to Board of Directors

When Should You Buy First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:FWRG)?

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (NasdaqGS:FWRG) acquired Six franchise owned restaurants in Florida.

CEO, President & Director recently sold US$684k worth of stock

CEO, President & Director notifies of intention to sell stock

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. Updates Earnings Guidance for the 53-Week Fiscal Year Ended December 31, 2023

Third quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Nov 01, 2023

Here's Why We Think First Watch Restaurant Group (NASDAQ:FWRG) Is Well Worth Watching

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. Names Matt Eisenacher as Chief Brand Officer

Independent Director recently sold US$194k worth of stock

Independent Director notifies of intention to sell stock

The Return Trends At First Watch Restaurant Group (NASDAQ:FWRG) Look Promising

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (NasdaqGS:FWRG) acquired Six Franchise Restaurants In Georgia And South Carolina.

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 23%

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. Updates Revenue Guidance for the 53-Week Fiscal Year Ended December 31, 2023

Price target increased by 8.3% to US$23.11

Second quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. Appoints Irene Chang Britt to Board of Directors

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (NasdaqGS:FWRG) acquired Five Franchise Owned Restaurants in the Milwaukee Area.

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. Introduces New Specialty Iced Coffees and Seasonal Summer Menu

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 14%

Returns On Capital Are Showing Encouraging Signs At First Watch Restaurant Group (NASDAQ:FWRG)

Insufficient new directors

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. Announces Revenue Guidance for 2022

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. to Report Q3, 2022 Results on Nov 07, 2022

First Watch: Ride On The Secular Tailwind Of Demand For Daypart Meals

First Watch: A Solid Buy-The-Dip Candidate

Independent Director recently sold US$67m worth of stock

Now 20% undervalued

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. has completed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of $69.75 million.

First Watch Restaurant slides 8% afterhours on secondary stock offering

First Watch Restaurant Group: Rapid Growth On Cards As Sales Momentum Persists

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. Announces New Seasonally Inspired Menu Items

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. Announces Retirement of Ken Pendery, Jr. as Board of Director, Effective September 1, 2022

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 19%

Second quarter 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

First Watch: Another Phenomenal Quarter

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2022

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. to Report Q2, 2022 Results on Aug 09, 2022

First Watch Restaurant Group: Undervalued Rare Asset With Significant Growth Potential

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. Appoints Stephanie Lilak to Its Board of Directors

First Watch: Another Solid Quarter For This Small-Cap Growth Story

The Strong Earnings Posted By First Watch Restaurant Group (NASDAQ:FWRG) Are A Good Indication Of The Strength Of The Business

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. Reiterates Earnings Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2022

First quarter 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

High number of new directors

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc., Annual General Meeting, May 24, 2022

First Watch Restaurant Group: Waiting For Profitability

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:FWRG)

First Watch: Phenomenal Growth, But At A Price

First Watch Restaurant Group Stock: Watching, Not Investing