FWRG logo

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. Stock Price

NasdaqGS:FWRG Community·US$785.7m Market Cap
  • 3 Narratives written by author
  • 0 Comments on narratives written by author
  • 5 Fair Values set on narratives written by author

FWRG Share Price Performance

US$12.86
-7.23 (-35.99%)
US$19.50
Fair Value
US$12.86
-7.23 (-35.99%)
34.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
US$19.50
Fair Value
Price US$12.86
AnalystConsensusTarget US$19.50
AnalystHighTarget US$26.00
AnalystLowTarget US$15.00

FWRG Community Narratives

AnalystConsensusTarget·
Fair Value US$19.5 34.1% undervalued intrinsic discount

Expanding Units In The Sun Belt Will Secure Future Success

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AnalystHighTarget·
Fair Value US$26 50.5% undervalued intrinsic discount

Expanding Daytime Dining Footprint Will Unlock Long Runway For Breakfast And Brunch

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AnalystLowTarget·
Fair Value US$15 14.3% undervalued intrinsic discount

Traffic Pressures And Menu Changes Will Test Expansion Plans Yet Support Long Term Potential

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US$15
14.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
Revenue
13.4% p.a.
Profit Margin
1.28%
Future PE
56.89x
Price in 2029
US$21.08
US$19.5
34.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
Revenue
13.49% p.a.
Profit Margin
1.26%
Future PE
75.18x
Price in 2029
US$27.38
US$26
50.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
Revenue
14.14% p.a.
Profit Margin
0.97%
Future PE
123.58x
Price in 2029
US$35.51

Trending Discussion

Updated Narratives

FWRG logo

Traffic Pressures And Menu Changes Will Test Expansion Plans Yet Support Long Term Potential

Fair Value: US$15 14.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
0 users have set this as their fair value
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
FWRG logo

FWRG: Ongoing Unit Expansion And Marketing Initiatives Will Support Future Upside

Fair Value: US$19.5 34.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
2 users have set this as their fair value
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
FWRG logo

Expanding Daytime Dining Footprint Will Unlock Long Runway For Breakfast And Brunch

Fair Value: US$26 50.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
0 users have set this as their fair value
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Snowflake Analysis

Mediocre balance sheet with limited growth.

2 Risks
3 Rewards

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. Key Details

US$1.2b

Revenue

US$975.1m

Cost of Revenue

US$247.4m

Gross Profit

US$228.0m

Other Expenses

US$19.4m

Earnings

Last Reported Earnings
Dec 28, 2025
Next Reporting Earnings
n/a
0.32
20.24%
1.59%
42.7%
View Full Analysis

About FWRG

Founded
1983
Employees
17500
CEO
Christopher Tomasso
WebsiteView website
www.firstwatch.com

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates and franchises restaurants under the First Watch trade name in the United States. The company was formerly known as AI Fresh Super Holdco, Inc. and changed its name to First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. in December 2019. First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. was founded in 1983 and is based in Bradenton, Florida.