Stock Analysis

Does BJ's Restaurants (NASDAQ:BJRI) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

NasdaqGS:BJRI
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, BJ's Restaurants, Inc. (NASDAQ:BJRI) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

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When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for BJ's Restaurants

What Is BJ's Restaurants's Debt?

As you can see below, BJ's Restaurants had US$126.8m of debt at September 2020, down from US$158.0m a year prior. However, it also had US$64.9m in cash, and so its net debt is US$61.9m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:BJRI Debt to Equity History January 21st 2021

How Strong Is BJ's Restaurants' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that BJ's Restaurants had liabilities of US$163.5m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$594.3m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$64.9m as well as receivables valued at US$14.0m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$679.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of US$1.06b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine BJ's Restaurants's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Over 12 months, BJ's Restaurants made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to US$873m, which is a fall of 24%. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did BJ's Restaurants's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost US$42m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of US$25m. So we do think this stock is quite risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for BJ's Restaurants you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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