Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Walmart Inc. (NYSE:WMT) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Walmart
What Is Walmart's Net Debt?
As you can see below, Walmart had US$46.2b of debt at October 2020, down from US$54.6b a year prior. However, it does have US$14.3b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$31.8b.
How Strong Is Walmart's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Walmart had liabilities of US$88.1b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$75.2b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$14.3b and US$5.77b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$143.3b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Walmart has a very large market capitalization of US$410.3b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Walmart's net debt is only 0.84 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 11.4 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Another good sign is that Walmart has been able to increase its EBIT by 21% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Walmart can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Walmart generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 81% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.
Our View
Happily, Walmart's impressive conversion of EBIT to free cash flow implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And the good news does not stop there, as its interest cover also supports that impression! Zooming out, Walmart seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Walmart is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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About NYSE:WMT
Walmart
Engages in the operation of retail, wholesale, other units, and eCommerce worldwide.
Outstanding track record with excellent balance sheet and pays a dividend.