Stock Analysis

At US$71.49, Is Performance Food Group Company (NYSE:PFGC) Worth Looking At Closely?

NYSE:PFGC
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Let's talk about the popular Performance Food Group Company (NYSE:PFGC). The company's shares saw a significant share price rise of 30% in the past couple of months on the NYSE. The recent jump in the share price has meant that the company is trading at close to its 52-week high. With many analysts covering the large-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. However, could the stock still be trading at a relatively cheap price? Let’s take a look at Performance Food Group’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.

Check out our latest analysis for Performance Food Group

What's The Opportunity In Performance Food Group?

Performance Food Group is currently expensive based on our price multiple model, where we look at the company's price-to-earnings ratio in comparison to the industry average. In this instance, we’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. We find that Performance Food Group’s ratio of 26.35x is above its peer average of 20.47x, which suggests the stock is trading at a higher price compared to the Consumer Retailing industry. But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Performance Food Group’s share price is quite volatile, this could mean it can sink lower (or rise even further) in the future, giving us another chance to invest. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What kind of growth will Performance Food Group generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:PFGC Earnings and Revenue Growth January 30th 2024

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. With profit expected to grow by 64% over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for Performance Food Group. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in PFGC’s positive outlook, with shares trading above industry price multiples. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe PFGC should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards the industry PE ratio can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on PFGC for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its industry peers, which means it is likely that there is no more upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for PFGC, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

If you want to dive deeper into Performance Food Group, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Performance Food Group you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.