Performance Food Group Company

NYSE:PFGC Stock Report

Market Cap: US$14.6b

Performance Food Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Performance Food Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 34.4% and 6.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 36% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 15.7% in 3 years.

Key information

34.4%

Earnings growth rate

35.97%

EPS growth rate

Consumer Retailing earnings growth8.8%
Revenue growth rate6.2%
Future return on equity15.67%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated07 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update • Apr 22

PFGC: Foodservice Share Gains Will Support Future 2026 Margin Expansion

Analysts have slightly raised the modeled fair value for Performance Food Group to about $117.83 per share, with modest tweaks to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions after recent Street price target cuts of $1 and $12. Analyst Commentary Recent target cuts of $1 and $12 suggest that analysts are recalibrating expectations rather than completely changing their views on Performance Food Group.
Narrative Update • Apr 07

PFGC: Foodservice Share Gains Will Support Future 2026 Distribution Upside

Analysts have slightly reduced their average price targets for Performance Food Group, with recent cuts of $1 at Citi, $12 at UBS, and adjustments from $134 to $127 and from $120 to $105, reflecting updated 2026 outlooks for food distributors and restaurants while still highlighting a relatively constructive view on foodservice distribution as a group. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Performance Food Group reflects both optimism about the foodservice distribution space and caution around sector level headwinds, with price target resets framed within updated 2026 outlooks for distributors and restaurants.
Narrative Update • Mar 24

PFGC: Foodservice Share Gains Will Support Future Distribution And M&A Upside

Analysts trimmed the 12 month price target for Performance Food Group by $0.12 to $117.50. This reflects slightly lower assumptions for revenue growth and profit margins, partly offset by a higher assumed future P/E multiple and a modestly higher discount rate following recent sector wide target resets at firms covering food distributors and restaurants.
Narrative Update • Mar 07

PFGC: Foodservice Share Gains Will Support Future M&A Execution

Narrative Update on Performance Food Group Analysts have trimmed their average price targets on Performance Food Group by $1 to $12 across recent updates, reflecting refreshed 2026 outlooks for food distributors and restaurants. They still generally highlight foodservice distribution as a relatively favorable area compared with restaurant peers.
Narrative Update • Feb 20

PFGC: Foodservice Share Gains Will Support Future M&A And Margin Expansion

Analysts have trimmed their average price target for Performance Food Group by about $0.08 to roughly $117.38, reflecting updated sector views that take into account ongoing sales challenges for restaurants as well as relatively stronger positioning for food distributors. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Performance Food Group points to a mixed but generally constructive stance, with updated models reflecting both sector headwinds and confidence in the company’s role within foodservice distribution.
Seeking Alpha • Feb 13

Performance Food Group: Shares Are Finally Tasty (Rating Upgrade)

Summary Performance Food Group is upgraded to a soft ‘buy’ as valuation now offers modest upside with limited downside risk. PFGC’s revenue, profits, and cash flows are rising, driven by organic growth and accretive acquisitions like Cheney Brothers. Management targets $73–$75 billion in revenue and $2.3–$2.5 billion in EBITDA by FY2028, supporting 10–13.6% annualized upside if targets are met. Despite low industry margins, PFGC’s segment expansion, technology investments, and operational scale position it for continued steady growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Feb 06

PFGC: Foodservice Share Gains Will Support Future EBITDA Margin Expansion

Analysts have trimmed their price targets for Performance Food Group, with our fair value estimate moving from about US$121.25 to roughly US$117.46 as they factor in updated sector views on restaurant sales trends, a slightly higher discount rate, modest tweaks to revenue growth assumptions, and lower future P/E multiples, despite generally supportive views on foodservice distribution and the stock's positioning within the distributor group. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Performance Food Group point to a mixed backdrop, with several firms trimming price targets while still expressing confidence in the company’s position within foodservice distribution.
Narrative Update • Jan 04

PFGC: Independent Case Share Gains Will Support Future 15% EBITDA Trajectory

Analysts have raised their price target on Performance Food Group by $8.75 to $130.00, citing expectations for faster independent case growth than peers, supported by a market share focused salesforce. This is expected to drive approximately 15 percent near to medium term EBITDA growth and help the company grow into its valuation multiple.
Narrative Update • Dec 17

PFGC: Independent Case Share Gains Will Support Future 15% EBITDA Expansion

Analysts have nudged their price target on Performance Food Group slightly lower to $121.25 from $121.67, while maintaining a constructive view as they expect the company to outgrow peers in independent case volume and deliver mid-teens EBITDA growth that supports its current valuation multiple. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see Performance Food Group gaining independent case share faster than peers, which they expect will support sustained outperformance in top line growth.
Narrative Update • Dec 03

PFGC: Independent Case Gains Will Support Multiple Through 15% EBITDA Expansion

Analysts have raised their price target on Performance Food Group by $8.33 to $130.00 per share, citing expectations for the company to outpace peers in independent case growth and deliver near to medium term EBITDA growth of about 15 percent, which they believe would enable it to grow into its current valuation multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary from bullish analysts underscores growing confidence that Performance Food Group can sustain above industry growth and justify its higher valuation multiple through consistent execution.
Narrative Update • Nov 19

PFGC: Market Share Gains And Expanding Margins Will Underpin Outperformance

Analysts have slightly raised their price target for Performance Food Group from $120.92 to $121.67. They cite expectations of faster-than-peer growth, successful sales strategies, and expanding profit margins as factors expected to drive near-term EBITDA growth.
Analysis Article • Nov 13

The Compensation For Performance Food Group Company's (NYSE:PFGC) CEO Looks Deserved And Here's Why

Key Insights Performance Food Group to hold its Annual General Meeting on 19th of November Salary of US$1.20m is part...
Narrative Update • Nov 05

PFGC: Accelerating Market Share Gains Will Drive Upside Amid Robust Earnings Momentum

Analysts have modestly increased their price target for Performance Food Group to approximately $120.92, citing robust Q4 earnings results, accelerating market share gains, and expectations for continued independent case growth to support EBITDA expansion. Analyst Commentary Recent street research on Performance Food Group highlights a series of bullish adjustments and positive sentiment.
Narrative Update • Oct 21

Analysts Boost Price Target for Performance Food Group Amid Strong Results and Upbeat Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target for Performance Food Group from $119.36 to $120.75 per share. They cite the company's strong earnings performance, sustained market share gains, and improving industry demand as key factors supporting this upward revision.
Narrative Update • Sep 17

Digital Ordering And Acquisitions Will Fuel Future Market Leadership

Performance Food Group received an upward price target revision driven by a strong Q4 earnings beat, solid FY26 guidance, improving case growth, robust market share gains, and stable cost inflation, resulting in a new consensus price target of $119.36. Analyst Commentary Strong Q4 earnings beat expectations, with EPS and EBITDA exceeding consensus estimates.
Narrative Update • Aug 15

Digital Ordering And Acquisitions Will Fuel Future Market Leadership

Driven by Q4 earnings beats, upward guidance revisions, and accelerating market share gains despite macro uncertainty, analysts have raised Performance Food Group’s consensus price target from $111.55 to $117.36. Analyst Commentary Q4 earnings outperformed expectations, delivering EPS and EBITDA beats, and prompting upward revisions to future guidance.
Analysis Article • Jul 15

At US$97.28, Is Performance Food Group Company (NYSE:PFGC) Worth Looking At Closely?

Let's talk about the popular Performance Food Group Company ( NYSE:PFGC ). The company's shares received a lot of...
Analysis Article • Jun 30

Performance Food Group Company's (NYSE:PFGC) P/E Still Appears To Be Reasonable

When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 18x, you may...
Seeking Alpha • Jan 06

Performance Food Group Company: I'm Sticking To My Guns

Summary Despite recent gains, I maintain a 'hold' rating for Performance Food Group due to its mixed financial results and relatively high valuation compared to peers. The company's recent acquisition of Cheney Brothers is expected to significantly boost revenue and EBITDA, but increased operating costs and interest expenses have impacted net income. Management's revenue and EBITDA forecasts for 2025 are promising, yet the stock remains slightly expensive relative to similar firms. My initial downgrade may have been premature, but without a sufficient margin of safety, an upgrade to 'buy' isn't justified. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
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New Narrative • Aug 22

Strategic Acquisitions And Global Expansion Fuel Robust Growth And Diversification In Food Distribution

Acquisition and integration of new companies are anticipated to expand market share and boost revenue by entering new territories and improving margins.
Seeking Alpha • Aug 15

Performance Food Group: A Solid Performance

Summary Performance Food Group is a major food distributor, having more than tripled its sales over the past decade, aided by M&A efforts. Growth has come with growing margins as well, as the business has become a better company. Performance Food Group recently acquired Cheney Bros, a Florida-based food service business, adding significant value and growth potential to the company. A traditional premium earnings multiple has fallen to a discount to the market here, making that appeal lures. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:PFGC - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
6/30/202875,0677991,1071,6709
6/30/202772,6076441,0051,54812
6/30/202667,9213859411,56111
3/28/202663,3503291,0061,455N/A
12/27/202562,3663457931,287N/A
9/27/202561,5593265231,011N/A
6/28/202559,8993407041,210N/A
3/29/202557,9493755501,033N/A
12/28/202456,501387536988N/A
9/28/202455,1584236911,129N/A
6/29/202454,6814367671,163N/A
3/30/202454,0574207951,132N/A
12/30/202353,971429643962N/A
9/30/202353,574422321603N/A
7/1/202353,355397562832N/A
4/1/202355,880323291543N/A
12/31/202254,206266302547N/A
10/1/202251,527204329561N/A
7/2/202247,19411361277N/A
4/2/202242,6726871282N/A
1/1/202237,5003769243N/A
10/2/202132,5384656228N/A
7/3/202129,19941-12465N/A
3/27/202126,005-142603779N/A
12/26/202026,080-174249441N/A
9/26/202025,890-151231407N/A
6/27/202023,986-114466624N/A
3/28/202025,211100-7375N/A
12/28/201922,900173N/A405N/A
9/28/201921,447175N/A369N/A
6/29/201919,744167N/A317N/A
3/30/201918,439168N/A398N/A
12/29/201818,099169N/A404N/A
9/29/201817,795204N/A383N/A
6/30/201817,620199N/A367N/A
3/31/201817,454175N/A329N/A
12/30/201717,340162N/A260N/A
9/30/201717,081107N/A293N/A
7/1/201716,76296N/A202N/A
4/1/201716,70685N/A219N/A
12/31/201616,38074N/A200N/A
10/1/201616,22268N/A187N/A
7/2/201616,10568N/A229N/A
3/26/201615,71673N/A217N/A
12/26/201515,60367N/A188N/A
9/26/201515,50162N/A184N/A
6/27/201515,27057N/A127N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: PFGC's forecast earnings growth (34.4% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).

Earnings vs Market: PFGC's earnings (34.4% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (16.4% per year).

High Growth Earnings: PFGC's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: PFGC's revenue (6.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (11.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: PFGC's revenue (6.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: PFGC's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (15.7%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/07 05:27
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/07 00:00
Earnings2026/03/28
Annual Earnings2025/06/28

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Performance Food Group Company is covered by 27 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jeffrey BernsteinBarclays
Jeffrey BernsteinBarclays
Alok PatelBerenberg