Stock Analysis

Vince Holding Corp. (NYSE:VNCE) Stock Rockets 136% But Many Are Still Ignoring The Company

NYSE:VNCE
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Vince Holding Corp. (NYSE:VNCE) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 136% share price jump in the last month. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 16% is also fairly reasonable.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, it would still be understandable if you think Vince Holding is a stock with good investment prospects with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 0.2x, considering almost half the companies in the United States' Luxury industry have P/S ratios above 0.7x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Check out our latest analysis for Vince Holding

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:VNCE Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 29th 2024

How Has Vince Holding Performed Recently?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Vince Holding's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Vince Holding.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Vince Holding's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 6.3%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 3.2% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 3.5% as estimated by the dual analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 4.4% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Vince Holding's P/S is lagging behind its industry peers. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Bottom Line On Vince Holding's P/S

Despite Vince Holding's share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

It looks to us like the P/S figures for Vince Holding remain low despite growth that is expected to be in line with other companies in the industry. Despite average revenue growth estimates, there could be some unobserved threats keeping the P/S low. Perhaps investors are concerned that the company could underperform against the forecasts over the near term.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 6 warning signs for Vince Holding (of which 3 are potentially serious!) you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of Vince Holding's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.