Stock Analysis

How Moody’s Downgrade at Leggett & Platt (LEG) Has Changed Its Investment Story

  • In recent days, Moody’s Ratings downgraded Leggett & Platt, Incorporated’s senior unsecured notes from Baa2 to Baa3 and shifted the outlook to stable, citing sustained demand challenges in key cyclical end markets and slow recovery in operating profit despite ongoing debt reduction efforts and restructuring plans.
  • This development places a spotlight on ongoing risks tied to high leverage and persistent sensitivity to broader economic cycles, both of which continue to shape the company's financial profile and market expectations.
  • We'll now examine how Moody’s debt downgrade and concerns around profit recovery affect Leggett & Platt's investment outlook and earnings assumptions.

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Leggett & Platt Investment Narrative Recap

Being a shareholder in Leggett & Platt means believing in the company’s ability to restore earnings momentum, manage leverage, and benefit from any recovery in key cyclical end markets. Moody’s downgrade of the company’s debt rating highlights ongoing balance sheet risks, but does not materially shift the focus for the near term, where the critical catalyst remains a stabilization in bedding and mattress demand, while high leverage remains the biggest risk to the story.

One recent update of particular relevance is Leggett & Platt’s upcoming Q3 2025 earnings release, scheduled for October 27, 2025. Investors will be closely watching these results to gauge whether cost management, operating improvement, and restructuring efforts are producing tangible progress, a key factor that may signal an inflection or further validate current concerns tied to slower profit recovery.

However, what many may not realize is that despite ongoing debt reduction efforts, the company’s sizeable leverage position continues to place meaningful limits on financial flexibility in times of...

Read the full narrative on Leggett & Platt (it's free!)

Leggett & Platt's narrative projects $4.3 billion in revenue and $200.1 million in earnings by 2028. This requires a 0.7% annual revenue decline and a $57.9 million earnings increase from $142.2 million currently.

Uncover how Leggett & Platt's forecasts yield a $9.67 fair value, a 7% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

LEG Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025
LEG Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025

Seven members of the Simply Wall St Community see fair value for Leggett & Platt from US$9.67 up to US$31.63. As many await the upcoming earnings report, persistent high leverage stands out as a central consideration for future performance across these perspectives.

Explore 7 other fair value estimates on Leggett & Platt - why the stock might be worth just $9.67!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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