Amer Sports Future Growth
Future criteria checks 4/6
Amer Sports is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 23.3% and 12.5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 23.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 14.1% in 3 years.
Key information
23.3%
Earnings growth rate
23.25%
EPS growth rate
| Luxury earnings growth | 17.6% |
| Revenue growth rate | 12.5% |
| Future return on equity | 14.07% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 21 May 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • May 20
Amer Sports: Arc'teryx's Momentum Is Strong, But Only For Now
Summary Amer Sports, Inc. started 2026 on a strong note. Earnings grew across markets, sales channels, and product segments. AS already raised its 2026 guidance. A longer-term concern persists; Arc'teryx generates luxury-like margins and high growth, but the brand's hot streak may not last forever. AS raised equity to pay off debt. I believe that the choice highlights a concern regarding the stock's valuation. I estimate AS stock to have -11% downside to $31.0 even with significant growth expectations. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Apr 23
AS: Future Upside Will Depend On 2026 EPS Guidance And Completed Equity Offering
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Amer Sports slightly to about $48.88 from roughly $48.96. This reflects updated assumptions around a modestly higher revenue growth outlook, a slightly lower profit margin profile, and a small adjustment in the assumed future P/E multiple.Narrative Update • Apr 09
AS: Future Upside Will Depend On 2026 EPS Guidance And Equity Offering
Analysts kept their fair value estimate for Amer Sports broadly steady at about $49 per share, as small adjustments to discount rate assumptions and future P/E inputs did not materially shift their overall price target framework. What's in the News Amer Sports filed a follow-on equity offering of ordinary shares in the amount of $750 million, with the security structured as common stock.Narrative Update • Mar 26
AS: Future Upside Will Depend On 2026 EPS And Follow On Offering
Analysts have kept their Amer Sports fair value estimate steady at $48.96, with only slight tweaks to the underlying discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions that fine tune rather than overhaul their prior price target view. What's in the News Amer Sports completed a follow-on equity offering of ordinary shares, raising about $750.0m through 20,604,396 common shares at a price of $36.40 per share, with a discount of $1.092 per share (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Mar 11
AS: Future Upside Will Depend On 2026 EPS And Equity Offering
Analysts have nudged their price target on Amer Sports higher from about $47.83 to roughly $48.96, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate, and future P/E that slightly adjust their view of the company’s risk and earnings profile. What's in the News Amer Sports completed a follow on equity offering of ordinary shares, raising about US$750.0m through 20,604,396 shares priced at US$36.40 with a US$1.092 discount per share (offering filing and completion).Narrative Update • Feb 25
AS: Future Upside Will Rely On 2026 EPS Delivery
Analysts have nudged their price target on Amer Sports higher to about $47.83 from roughly $47.43, citing updated assumptions that pair slightly lower revenue growth expectations with a modestly higher profit margin outlook and a lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News Amer Sports issued earnings guidance for the first quarter ending March 31, 2026, targeting reported revenue growth of 22% to 24%, which includes an estimated 500 basis point benefit from favorable foreign exchange at current rates, and fully diluted EPS of US$0.28 to US$0.30 (company guidance).Narrative Update • Feb 09
AS: Future Upside Will Rely On 2025 EPS Outlook
Analysts have kept their price target on Amer Sports unchanged at $47.43. The steady view reflects offsetting tweaks to assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E multiples.Narrative Update • Jan 25
AS: Future Upside Will Rely On 2025 Guidance And Margin Expansion
Analysts have made a small upward adjustment to their price target for Amer Sports, now implying fair value of about $47.43 per share, compared with roughly $47.39 previously. This change reflects fine tuning to their discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions.Narrative Update • Jan 11
AS: Future Upside Will Rely On Firm Guidance And Improving Margins
Analysts have nudged their price target for Amer Sports higher from US$46.75 to about US$47.39, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a slightly lower future P/E multiple in their refreshed valuation work. What's in the News Amer Sports issued updated earnings guidance for the year ending December 31, 2025, with reported revenue growth expected in a range of 23% to 24%, including about a 100 basis point benefit from favorable FX at current exchange rates (company guidance).Narrative Update • Dec 19
AS: Future Earnings Will Rise As Guidance And Margins Remain Strong
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Amer Sports, lifting fair value from approximately $46.38 to $46.75 per share. They cite slightly lower perceived risk, broadly unchanged expectations for strong mid-teens revenue growth, and resilient double digit profit margins, which together support a somewhat higher future earnings multiple.Analysis Article • Dec 14
Amer Sports, Inc.'s (NYSE:AS) P/S Is Still On The Mark Following 26% Share Price Bounce
Amer Sports, Inc. ( NYSE:AS ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting...Narrative Update • Dec 05
AS: Future Earnings Outlook Will Improve As Margins And Guidance Strengthen
Narrative Update on Amer Sports Analysts have nudged their average price target for Amer Sports slightly higher to approximately $46.38, citing marginally stronger expectations for revenue growth and profit margins, which more than offset a modest trimming of future valuation multiples. What's in the News Issued new full year 2025 guidance, projecting reported revenue growth of 23% to 24%, including about a 100 basis point tailwind from favorable foreign exchange, and fully diluted EPS of $0.88 to $0.92 (Company guidance) Recorded a $6.7 million impairment of goodwill and intangible assets in the third quarter of 2025, reflecting adjustments to the carrying value of certain acquired businesses or brands (Company filing) Raised third quarter 2025 revenue guidance to high 20s percentage year over year growth, up from prior expectations of approximately 20% growth, indicating stronger than anticipated demand momentum (Company guidance) Valuation Changes Fair Value: nudged up slightly to approximately $46.38 from about $45.85, reflecting modestly stronger fundamentals.Narrative Update • Nov 20
AS: Future Earnings Outlook Will Gain From Higher Profit Margins
Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Amer Sports from $46.14 to $45.85. They cited revised revenue growth expectations and a modest increase in the discount rate as reasons for the change.Narrative Update • Nov 03
AS: Strong 2025 Revenue Outlook And EPS Will Drive Upside Momentum
Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Amer Sports from $46.35 to $46.14. They cite marginal adjustments in projected growth rates and profitability metrics as the reason for this change.Narrative Update • Oct 20
Global Outdoor Expansion And Digital Channels Will Unlock Future Potential
Analysts have reaffirmed their price target for Amer Sports at $46.35. They are maintaining their outlook based on stable financial projections and minimal changes in key assumptions.Narrative Update • Oct 06
Global Outdoor Expansion And Digital Channels Will Unlock Future Potential
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Amer Sports from $45.34 to $46.35. They cite improved revenue growth outlook, despite a slight dip in projected profit margins and a marginal increase in the discount rate.Narrative Update • Sep 20
Global Outdoor Expansion And Digital Channels Will Unlock Future Potential
The slight increase in Amer Sports’ consensus price target to $45.34 reflects marginally higher future revenue growth expectations and a near-steady forward P/E multiple. What's in the News Raised third quarter 2025 year-over-year revenue growth guidance to high 20s percentage, up from prior ~20%.Narrative Update • Aug 27
Asia-Pacific And Greater China Will Unlock Premium Markets
Analysts have increased their price target for Amer Sports as improved revenue growth forecasts and a lower future P/E ratio signal stronger fundamentals, raising fair value from $41.97 to $43.58. What's in the News Amer Sports expects Q3 revenue growth of ~20% and fully diluted EPS of $0.20–0.22.Analysis Article • May 27
Impressive Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Amer Sports (NYSE:AS)
Unsurprisingly, Amer Sports, Inc.'s ( NYSE:AS ) stock price was strong on the back of its healthy earnings report...New Narrative • May 26
Asia-Pacific And Greater China Will Unlock Premium Markets
Rapid growth in Asia-Pacific, premium positioning, and DTC expansion are driving margin gains and strengthening recurring revenue streams across underpenetrated brands.Seeking Alpha • Apr 23
Amer Sports: Rating Downgrade On Macro Turmoil
Summary Amer Sports stock is downgraded to a hold rating due to weakened demand setup and increased risk of missing FY25 guidance amid macroeconomic shifts and new tariffs. Despite solid execution, with TA and OP segments showing strong growth, macro risks like tariffs and recession fears significantly impact discretionary spending. AS's products are highly discretionary and exposed to macro downturns, with 30% of products sourced from China facing >100% cost increases. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 04
Amer Sports: Growing With Asia And Arc'teryx
Summary Amer Sports has a portfolio of strong outdoor & sports apparel and equipment, including Arc'teryx, Peak Performance, Salomon, Wilson, and others. Amer is looking at a long growth runway, especially in the well-growing Chinese market. Also, Arc'teryx is driving global high-margin growth with great brand relevance. Around a year after an IPO, Amer's stock is already pricing in very rapid growth - I believe that investors should wait for a better buying opportunity. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 19
Amer Sports: Expensive No Matter How You Slice It (Rating Downgrade)
Summary Amer Sports' brands like Arc'teryx and Salomon show strong growth, but the stock is overvalued with little margin of safety for investors. Despite a strong Q3 with 17% sales growth and a 14.4% operating margin, high valuation and leverage raise concerns. The company's focus on profitable growth is promising, but heavy reliance on Arc'teryx poses risks if consumer demand shifts. I'm downgrading the stock from 'hold' to 'sell' due to high expectations already priced in, making the stock expensive versus peers. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 20
Amer Sports Q3 Earnings: Beat And Raise Again (Maintain Hold)
Summary Amer Sports' Q3 2024 results exceeded expectations with 17% revenue growth, driven by Technical Apparel and a turnaround in the Ball & Racquet segment. The company raised its FY 2024 guidance, projecting 16-17% revenue growth and higher margins, boosting investor confidence. Arc'teryx saw significant growth in Japan, partly fueled by Chinese tourists, while the Ball & Racquet segment benefited from strong tennis sales. Despite strong performance, Amer Sports' stock valuation remains high, leading me to maintain a "hold" rating. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 02
Amer Sports: Solid Demand Momentum
Summary I recommend a buy rating for Amer Sports due to strong demand momentum and potential for positive multiple re-rating if EPS growth meets expectations. Amer Sports' Q2 2024 results showed robust revenue growth and margin expansion. With a manageable net debt ratio and a strategic inventory buildup, AS is well-positioned to meet demand and support future growth. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • May 27
Amer Sports: Buy The Apparel, Not The Stock
Summary Amer Sports owns a portfolio of sports and outdoor brands, generating revenues from various regions around the world. The Technical Apparel segment, led by Arc'teryx, has been the main driver of sales for the company. Amer Sports Q1 2024 posted strong performance, with revenue increasing in the Technical Apparel segment and declines in the Balls & Racquet segment. While the company continues to grow, I have concerns about interest eating away at the company's debt as well as wholesale channel weakness and inventory management. With negligible free cash flow generation and a lofty multiple at 22x EV/EBITDA, I'm inclined to avoid Amer Sports. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 15
Amer Sports Aims To Score Another Group Winner After Fila Jackpot
Summary Amer Sports reported revenue growth of 61% last year in Greater China, led by Arc’teryx clothing. The company is keen to boost the global profile of the Arc’teryx brand by opening more specialty stores. Amer’s major shareholder, ANTA, has had a tough time on the slumping Hong Kong stock market of late. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaEarnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 10,265 | 1,059 | N/A | 1,706 | 14 |
| 12/31/2027 | 9,095 | 870 | 771 | 1,174 | 23 |
| 12/31/2026 | 8,005 | 681 | 230 | 868 | 17 |
| 3/31/2026 | 7,039 | 457 | 436 | 738 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 6,566 | 427 | 446 | 730 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 6,101 | 311 | 225 | 511 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 5,698 | 224 | 188 | 465 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 5,463 | 202 | 192 | 472 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 5,183 | 73 | 149 | 425 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 4,875 | -36 | 67 | 298 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 4,675 | -129 | 124 | 333 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 4,543 | -222 | 84 | 258 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 4,400 | -209 | 63 | 199 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 4,272 | -264 | -118 | 7 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 3,966 | -228 | -156 | -37 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 3,848 | -171 | -86 | 26 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 3,571 | -231 | -201 | -92 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 3,067 | -124 | 174 | 268 | N/A |
| 1/1/2021 | 2,446 | -174 | 192 | 298 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: AS's forecast earnings growth (23.3% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).
Earnings vs Market: AS's earnings (23.3% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (16.8% per year).
High Growth Earnings: AS's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: AS's revenue (12.5% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (11.6% per year).
High Growth Revenue: AS's revenue (12.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: AS's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (14.1%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/21 03:53 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/21 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Amer Sports, Inc. is covered by 32 analysts. 23 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Hong Xing Pan | ABCI Securities Company Limited |
| Jonathan Komp | Baird |
| Adrienne Yih-Tennant | Barclays |