Stock Analysis

The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Rocky Brands, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:RCKY) Earnings Yet As Shares Tumble 35%

NasdaqGS:RCKY
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The Rocky Brands, Inc. (NASDAQ:RCKY) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 35%. Longer-term shareholders will rue the drop in the share price, since it's now virtually flat for the year after a promising few quarters.

Even after such a large drop in price, Rocky Brands' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.4x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 18x and even P/E's above 34x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.

Earnings have risen firmly for Rocky Brands recently, which is pleasing to see. It might be that many expect the respectable earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

View our latest analysis for Rocky Brands

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:RCKY Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry November 1st 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Rocky Brands will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Any Growth For Rocky Brands?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Rocky Brands' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 29% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 27% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 15% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we are not surprised that Rocky Brands is trading at a P/E lower than the market. However, we think shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent earnings trends are already weighing down the shares.

The Bottom Line On Rocky Brands' P/E

Rocky Brands' recently weak share price has pulled its P/E below most other companies. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Rocky Brands maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its sliding earnings over the medium-term, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Rocky Brands (of which 2 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Rocky Brands, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.