When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 17x, you may consider Mattel, Inc. (NASDAQ:MAT) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 20x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Mattel has been doing quite well of late. The P/E is probably high because investors think the company will continue to navigate the broader market headwinds better than most. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Check out our latest analysis for Mattel
Keen to find out how analysts think Mattel's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Is There Enough Growth For Mattel?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as Mattel's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 45%. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 24% per annum as estimated by the twelve analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 10% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
In light of this, it's understandable that Mattel's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Final Word
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
As we suspected, our examination of Mattel's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with Mattel.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Mattel. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGS:MAT
Mattel
A toy and family entertainment company, designs, manufactures, and markets toys and consumer products in North America, Latin America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific.
Very undervalued with solid track record.