Mattel Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Mattel is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 5.8% and 3.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 11.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 21% in 3 years.

Key information

5.8%

Earnings growth rate

11.40%

EPS growth rate

Leisure earnings growth	34.8%
Revenue growth rate	3.2%
Future return on equity	20.99%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	07 Apr 2026

Recent future growth updates

Analysts Are Updating Their Mattel, Inc. (NASDAQ:MAT) Estimates After Its Second-Quarter Results

Aug 01

Recent updates

We Think You Can Look Beyond Mattel's (NASDAQ:MAT) Lackluster Earnings

Feb 17

Mattel Q4: More Pain Ahead, But It Is Getting Interesting

Feb 12

Analysts Are Updating Their Mattel, Inc. (NASDAQ:MAT) Estimates After Its Second-Quarter Results

Aug 01

Here's Why Mattel (NASDAQ:MAT) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Jul 23

Investors Will Want Mattel's (NASDAQ:MAT) Growth In ROCE To Persist

Jul 02

There's No Escaping Mattel, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MAT) Muted Earnings Despite A 34% Share Price Rise

May 21

Mattel: Diversification Plan Moves Into Manga Comic Book Partnership With TokyoPop

Jan 11

Mattel, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MAT) P/S Is On The Mark

Dec 11

Mattel (NASDAQ:MAT) Might Have The Makings Of A Multi-Bagger

Nov 26

Mattel: A Solid IP Treasure Trove Acquisition Candidate Hiding In Plain Sight

Oct 29

Mattel (NASDAQ:MAT) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Oct 11

Mattel: Iconic Brands, Rising Costs, And Acquisition Hopes

Oct 08

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:MAT - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2028	6,057	417	429	888	6
12/31/2027	5,858	391	362	621	10
12/31/2026	5,598	336	286	614	11
12/31/2025	5,348	398	411	593	N/A
9/30/2025	5,228	432	488	659	N/A
6/30/2025	5,336	526	530	743	N/A
3/31/2025	5,397	530	582	790	N/A
12/31/2024	5,380	542	598	801	N/A
9/30/2024	5,354	548	688	888	N/A
6/30/2024	5,429	322	826	978	N/A
3/31/2024	5,436	293	964	1,112	N/A
12/31/2023	5,441	214	709	870	N/A
9/30/2023	5,222	83	461	638	N/A
6/30/2023	5,059	227	361	542	N/A
3/31/2023	5,208	266	187	380	N/A
12/31/2022	5,435	394	256	443	N/A
9/30/2022	5,828	604	303	467	N/A
6/30/2022	5,834	1,109	147	302	N/A
3/31/2022	5,625	1,037	226	377	N/A
12/31/2021	5,458	903	334	485	N/A
9/30/2021	5,289	806	320	472	N/A
6/30/2021	5,163	322	374	514	N/A
3/31/2021	4,869	217	305	424	N/A
12/31/2020	4,588	124	167	286	N/A
9/30/2020	4,436	-5	130	253	N/A
6/30/2020	4,281	-246	-10	112	N/A
3/31/2020	4,409	-243	72	199	N/A
12/31/2019	4,505	-219	65	168	N/A
9/30/2019	4,555	-204	N/A	190	N/A
6/30/2019	4,511	-268	N/A	129	N/A
3/31/2019	4,496	-398	N/A	54	N/A
12/31/2018	4,515	-533	N/A	-27	N/A
9/30/2018	4,601	-825	N/A	-19	N/A
6/30/2018	4,724	-1,434	N/A	-35	N/A
3/31/2018	4,855	-1,252	N/A	9	N/A
12/31/2017	4,881	-1,055	N/A	-28	N/A
9/30/2017	5,105	-598	N/A	186	N/A
6/30/2017	5,340	240	N/A	286	N/A
3/31/2017	5,323	276	N/A	374	N/A
12/31/2016	5,453	312	N/A	595	N/A
9/30/2016	5,622	357	N/A	626	N/A
6/30/2016	5,618	344	N/A	735	N/A
3/31/2016	5,649	351	N/A	698	N/A
12/31/2015	5,703	366	N/A	735	N/A
9/30/2015	5,697	300	N/A	811	N/A
6/30/2015	5,926	407	N/A	727	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: MAT's forecast earnings growth (5.8% per year) is above the savings rate (3.4%).

Earnings vs Market: MAT's earnings (5.8% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (15.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: MAT's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: MAT's revenue (3.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (10.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: MAT's revenue (3.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: MAT's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (21%)

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2026/04/12 05:31
End of Day Share Price	2026/04/10 00:00
Earnings	2025/12/31
Annual Earnings	2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Mattel, Inc. is covered by 32 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
John Staszak	Argus Research Company
Felicia Kantor Hendrix	Barclays
Alok Patel	Berenberg

Mattel Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 29%

Price target decreased by 15% to US$20.45

Mattel, Inc. Reiterates Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2025

Analysts Are Updating Their Mattel, Inc. (NASDAQ:MAT) Estimates After Its Second-Quarter Results

Mattel, Inc. Updates Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2025

Mattel, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2025

Recent updates

Mattel, Inc. to Report Q1, 2026 Results on Apr 29, 2026

Mattel, Inc. Announces Executive Changes

Mattel Inc Unveils Masters of the Universe Product Line

CCM Hockey And Mattel Inc Announce Barbie X CCM Collection

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 29%

We Think You Can Look Beyond Mattel's (NASDAQ:MAT) Lackluster Earnings

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 22%

Executive Chairman & CEO recently bought US$1.0m worth of stock

Mattel, Inc. Showcases Bold New Hot Wheels Lineup At New York Toy Fair

Mattel Q4: More Pain Ahead, But It Is Getting Interesting

Full year 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Price target decreased by 15% to US$20.45

Mattel, Inc. (NasdaqGS:MAT) announces an Equity Buyback for $1,500 million worth of its shares.

Mattel, Inc. Unveils Its Latest Automotive Collaboration At Toy Fair in New York City

Mattel, Inc. to Report Q4, 2025 Results on Feb 10, 2026

Mattel, Inc. Introduces the First Autistic Barbie Doll, Championing Representation for Children Through Play

Mattel, Inc. Appoints Natalia Premovic as Chief Consumer Products and Experiences Officer, Effective January 5, 2026

Mattel, Inc. Announces the Expansion of Uno Elite

Mattel and Realtruck Collaborate on One-Of-A-Kind "Matchbox" Jeep Wrangler, Scheduled to Be Unveiled At the 2025 Sema Show

Mattel, Inc. Expands Formula 1®? Collection to Include Scuderia Ferrari HP and Aston Martin Aramco Formula One™? Team

Third quarter 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Mattel, Inc. Reiterates Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2025

Mattel Creations and the Museum of Modern Art Announce Multi-Year Global Partnership

Mattel Introduces Team Barbie to Champion Building Girls' Confidence

Mattel, Inc. to Report Q3, 2025 Results on Oct 21, 2025

Mattel, Inc. and Hot Wheels®? Debut Collector Builds of Two Legendary Audi Models

Mattel163 and Netease Officially Launches Uno Wonder

Mattel Reveals its 2026 Girl of the Year, Raquel Reyes

Mattel Releases the First Uno Canvas Deck

Mattel, Inc. Unveils Masters of the Universe: He-Man Heroes, First Official Fortnite Island - Now in Early Access

Analysts Are Updating Their Mattel, Inc. (NASDAQ:MAT) Estimates After Its Second-Quarter Results

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 15%

Second quarter 2025 earnings: EPS in line with expectations, revenues disappoint

Mattel, Inc. Updates Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2025

Advisor notifies of intention to sell stock

Here's Why Mattel (NASDAQ:MAT) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Mattel, Inc. Introduces First-Ever Barbie Doll with Type 1 Diabetes to Expand Representation and Inspire More Children

Investors Will Want Mattel's (NASDAQ:MAT) Growth In ROCE To Persist

Mattel Creations Puts John John John Cena, Deadpool, Jurassic World, and Masters of the Universe in the Spotlight for San Diego Comic-Con 2025

Mattel Creations Pays Homage to Universal Pictures "Cinematic Classics" with Collectibles from Hot Wheels®? to Be Showcased At San Diego Comic-Con 2025

Hot Wheels Unveils F1®? the Movie Die-Cast Car, Bringing the Big Screen to 1:64 Scale

Mattel Celebrates "Girl Power" with Collectibles from Monster High®? and Hot Wheels®? Mario Kart, Set to Debut at San Diego Comic-Con

There's No Escaping Mattel, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MAT) Muted Earnings Despite A 34% Share Price Rise

Mattel, Inc. Debuts UNO Social Clubs, Turning the Classic Card Game into the Ultimate Night Out

Chief Financial Officer notifies of intention to sell stock

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 18%

Hot Wheels Takes Iconic Orange Track to the Next Level with New Snap Feature, Its Most Significant Innovation in 50 Years

Mattel Appoints Paul Ruh as Chief Financial Officer, Effective May 19, 2025

First quarter 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Mattel, Inc. Unveils First Product Collection with Hot Wheels Collector Builds

Here's Why Mattel (NASDAQ:MAT) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Mattel, Inc. and Idw Publishing Announce New Comic Series "Monster High: World's Scare"

Mattel, Inc. to Report Q1, 2025 Results on May 05, 2025

Mattel, Inc. Debuts the First Nine Hot Wheels Products from the Brand's Recently Announces Partnership with Ferrari

Investors Don't See Light At End Of Mattel, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MAT) Tunnel

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%

Mattel, Inc., Annual General Meeting, May 28, 2025

We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At Mattel (NASDAQ:MAT)

Mattel Has Good Long-Term Outlook, But Is A Short-Term Hold

Mattel, Inc. Introduces All-New Barney Toy Line to Celebrate Self-Love, Imagination and Emotional Growth

Mattel, Inc. and Dovetail Games Launch Thomas & Friends Add-On for Train Sim World Spring 2025

Hasbro Launches Imaginative PLAY-DOH Barbie Playsets in Licensing Collaboration with Mattel

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 20%

Full year 2024 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations

Mattel, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2025

Now 23% undervalued after recent price drop

Hot Wheels and Ferrari Team Up for the First Time in 10 Years to Release a Full Range of Die-Cast Cars and Collectibles

Mattel, Inc. Reveals All-New Product Line to Bring the Thrill of Formula 1® to Racing Fans At Home

Mattel, Inc. Announces Retirement of Anthony DiSilvestro as Chief Financial Officer, Effective May 15, 2025