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Investors Will Want Mattel's (NASDAQ:MAT) Growth In ROCE To Persist
To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. With that in mind, we've noticed some promising trends at Mattel (NASDAQ:MAT) so let's look a bit deeper.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Mattel is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.15 = US$739m ÷ (US$6.2b - US$1.1b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2025).
Thus, Mattel has an ROCE of 15%. In absolute terms, that's a pretty normal return, and it's somewhat close to the Leisure industry average of 13%.
Check out our latest analysis for Mattel
In the above chart we have measured Mattel's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for Mattel .
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
Investors would be pleased with what's happening at Mattel. Over the last five years, returns on capital employed have risen substantially to 15%. The amount of capital employed has increased too, by 38%. So we're very much inspired by what we're seeing at Mattel thanks to its ability to profitably reinvest capital.
The Bottom Line On Mattel's ROCE
In summary, it's great to see that Mattel can compound returns by consistently reinvesting capital at increasing rates of return, because these are some of the key ingredients of those highly sought after multi-baggers. And with a respectable 99% awarded to those who held the stock over the last five years, you could argue that these developments are starting to get the attention they deserve. So given the stock has proven it has promising trends, it's worth researching the company further to see if these trends are likely to persist.
If you want to continue researching Mattel, you might be interested to know about the 1 warning sign that our analysis has discovered.
While Mattel isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGS:MAT
Mattel
A toy and family entertainment company, designs, manufactures, and markets toys and consumer products in North America, Latin America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific.
Undervalued with excellent balance sheet.
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Trending Discussion
Looks interesting, I am jumping into the finances now. Your 15% margin seems high for a conservative model, can't just ignore the years they need to invest. You didnt seem to mention that they had to dilute the sharebase by issuing ~40mil shares. raising ~8 mil. should be enough if mouse does OK. If not they will need to raise more to suvive. Losing 20m a year, 14m after there 6m cutbacks. Am I reading it right that they have no debt. have they any history of raising debt? First look it is too dependant on the mouse and GoT games. they do well stock will 2-3x, poorly and it will drop. I am not sure I agree with your work for hire backstop. Unlikely meta horizons will continue with the same size contract going forward. say 10% margins and 15x multiple on 30m. that is 45m, which with the new sharecount is 10c. It is a backstop but maybe not that strong. Mouse fails and devs could start jumping ship and outside contracts could dry up. Hmm on top of all that AI could be disrupting the work for hire model. I think I have mostly talked myself out of it. Although Mouse looks good and does seem like the type of game that could go viral on twitch for a few months. If it does you will likly get a great return 5x plus. crap maybe I am talking myself back in.
