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- NasdaqGS:LEGH
When Should You Buy Legacy Housing Corporation (NASDAQ:LEGH)?
Legacy Housing Corporation (NASDAQ:LEGH), might not be a large cap stock, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial price increase on the NASDAQGS over the last few months. Less-covered, small caps tend to present more of an opportunity for mispricing due to the lack of information available to the public, which can be a good thing. So, could the stock still be trading at a low price relative to its actual value? Let’s examine Legacy Housing’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.
Check out our latest analysis for Legacy Housing
What is Legacy Housing worth?
The share price seems sensible at the moment according to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 12.1x is currently trading slightly above its industry peers’ ratio of 11.05x, which means if you buy Legacy Housing today, you’d be paying a relatively reasonable price for it. And if you believe that Legacy Housing should be trading at this level in the long run, then there should only be a fairly immaterial downside vs other industry peers. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Legacy Housing’s share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.
What kind of growth will Legacy Housing generate?
Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Legacy Housing's earnings growth are expected to be in the teens in the upcoming year, indicating a solid future ahead. This should lead to robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? LEGH’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at LEGH? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below the industry PE ratio?
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on LEGH, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for LEGH, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Legacy Housing at this point in time. You'd be interested to know, that we found 1 warning sign for Legacy Housing and you'll want to know about it.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NasdaqGS:LEGH
Legacy Housing
Engages in the building, sale, and financing of manufactured homes and tiny houses primarily in the southern United States.
Flawless balance sheet and good value.