Fossil Group, Inc.

NasdaqGS:FOSL Stock Report

Market Cap: US$249.1m

Fossil Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Fossil Group's revenue is forecast to decline at 2.1% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 74.7% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 113.1% per annum.

Key information

74.7%

Earnings growth rate

113.05%

EPS growth rate

Luxury earnings growth18.1%
Revenue growth rate-2.1%
Future return on equityn/a
Analyst coverage

Low

Last updated23 Mar 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha Apr 21

Fossil: Continued Declining Sales And Macro Headwinds Make Me Bearish

Summary Fossil Group reported a 5.7% decline in gross profit to $563.1 million for fiscal 2025, primarily due to lower sales. Gross margin improved to 56.1% from 52.2%, reflecting enhanced product margins and benefits from full-price selling and sourcing initiatives. Operating expenses fell significantly, with SG&A down to $540.1 million and restructuring charges reduced, supporting a narrower operating loss. Operating margin improved to -1.9% from -9.1%, indicating progress from restructuring and cost reduction programs despite ongoing losses. Due to the continued weak demand and macroeconomic headwinds - including consumer confidence and elevated energy prices - I rate FOSL as a sell. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
New Narrative Mar 06

Store Of The Future And Brand Collaborations Will Reshape This Watchmaker’s Long-Term Prospects

Catalysts About Fossil Group Fossil Group designs, markets and distributes watches, jewelry and related accessories across its own brands and licensed brands globally. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
New Narrative Feb 20

Higher Prices And Distributor Model Will Test Brand Momentum Before A Gradual Earnings Recovery

Catalysts About Fossil Group Fossil Group designs, sources and sells watches, jewelry and related accessories across its own brands and licensed brands globally. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Analysis Article Nov 26

Fossil Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:FOSL) Shares Fly 28% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth

Those holding Fossil Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:FOSL ) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 28% in the...
Analysis Article Oct 01

Does Fossil Group (NASDAQ:FOSL) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
Analysis Article Sep 05

Fossil Group (NASDAQ:FOSL) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To Continue

If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. In a perfect...
Analysis Article Aug 15

Fossil Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:FOSL) Stock Rockets 48% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

NasdaqGS:FOSL 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Fossil Group's Fair Values from the Community and select yours...
Analysis Article May 01

Is Fossil Group (NASDAQ:FOSL) Using Debt Sensibly?

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Analysis Article Dec 30

Is Fossil Group (NASDAQ:FOSL) A Risky Investment?

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...
Seeking Alpha Dec 04

Fossil Group: Recent Surge Calls Attention To Interesting Turnaround Situation

Summary On Dec. 2, Fossil Group shares surged 61%, upon news of insider buying by the watch and fashion accessory company's newly appointed CEO. Recent results on the surface appear mixed at best, but last month's earnings release and conference call did reveal a few green shoots with regards to a further turnaround. If Fossil Group's new management team is successful in stabilizing sales and further cost reduction efforts, this could ultimately drive another fourfold surge higher for shares. Make no mistake, this remains a risky situation, but given the outsized potential upside from even a modest comeback, consider FOSL stock still worthy of a speculative buy. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article Dec 03

Fossil Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:FOSL) Stock Catapults 84% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Industry

Fossil Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:FOSL ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 84% gain in the last month alone...
Analysis Article Jul 02

Is Fossil Group (NASDAQ:FOSL) Using Debt Sensibly?

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
Analysis Article Mar 01

Is Fossil Group (NASDAQ:FOSL) A Risky Investment?

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
Analysis Article Mar 10

Fossil Group (NASDAQ:FOSL) Will Be Looking To Turn Around Its Returns

What financial metrics can indicate to us that a company is maturing or even in decline? More often than not, we'll see...
Analysis Article Oct 18

Fossil Group (NASDAQ:FOSL) Might Have The Makings Of A Multi-Bagger

If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'd want to identify a...
Seeking Alpha Sep 12

Fossil Group gets new marketing chief

Fossil Group (NASDAQ:FOSL) announced Lisa Marie Pillette has joined as Senior VP and CMO. Lisa brings extensive marketing and brand expertise to Fossil from Lacoste, Ralph Lauren, and Levi Strauss. She most recently served as CMO for direct-to-consumer brand Casper.
Seeking Alpha Aug 10

Fossil Non-GAAP EPS of -$0.33, revenue of $371M

Fossil press release (NASDAQ:FOSL): Q2 Non-GAAP EPS of -$0.33. Revenue of $371M. Shares -8.8%. For fiscal year 2022, the Company now expects worldwide net sales declines of approximately 8% to 4% versus prior guidance of net sales growth of flat to 3%.   This updated guidance includes an estimated foreign currency negative impact of 450 basis points, which compares to our prior estimate of 350 basis points for the full year.   The Company is reducing adjusted operating margin(1) guidance for the full year and now expects adjusted operating margin of 2% to 4% compared to prior guidance of 5.5% to 6.5%.
Analysis Article Aug 06

We Think Fossil Group (NASDAQ:FOSL) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:FOSL - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2027964-14-602
12/31/2026949-38-29-242
1/3/20261,004-78-59-58N/A
10/4/20251,066-67-44-43N/A
7/5/20251,084-59-46-43N/A
4/5/20251,123-96-18-14N/A
12/28/20241,145-1034147N/A
9/28/20241,224-1236065N/A
6/29/20241,280-1525463N/A
3/30/20241,342-1401927N/A
12/30/20231,412-157-69-59N/A
9/30/20231,490-138-16-4N/A
7/1/20231,582-71-41-28N/A
4/1/20231,632-64-94-82N/A
12/31/20221,682-44-122-111N/A
10/1/20221,788-15-140-128N/A
7/2/20221,84310-117-106N/A
4/2/20221,88328-38-27N/A
1/1/20221,870254650N/A
10/2/20211,7942-33-32N/A
7/3/20211,738-147980N/A
4/3/20211,586-35137141N/A
1/2/20211,613-9691101N/A
10/3/20201,797-99203220N/A
7/4/20201,901-141524N/A
4/4/20202,143-126-119-99N/A
12/28/20192,218-52N/A-14N/A
9/28/20192,2932N/A37N/A
6/29/20192,36233N/A145N/A
3/30/20192,43833N/A260N/A
12/29/20182,541-3N/A248N/A
9/29/20182,675-131N/A192N/A
6/30/20182,755-141N/A222N/A
3/31/20182,776-478N/A124N/A
12/30/20172,788-478N/A180N/A
9/30/20172,827-349N/A211N/A
7/1/20172,876-326N/A174N/A
4/1/20172,96425N/A227N/A
12/31/20163,04279N/A210N/A
10/1/20163,076100N/A286N/A
7/2/20163,109140N/A270N/A
4/2/20163,164188N/A310N/A
1/2/20163,229221N/A361N/A
10/3/20153,301304N/A324N/A
7/4/20153,424351N/A395N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: FOSL is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Earnings vs Market: FOSL is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

High Growth Earnings: FOSL is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: FOSL's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-2.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: FOSL's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-2.1% per year).


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if FOSL's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/07 23:30
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/07 00:00
Earnings2026/01/03
Annual Earnings2026/01/03

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Fossil Group, Inc. is covered by 23 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullArgus Research Company
Matthew McClintockBarclays
Ronald BookbinderBenchmark Company