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FOSL

Fossil GroupNasdaqGS:FOSL Stock Report

Market Cap

US$635.1m

7D

-1.9%

1Y

95.2%

Updated

25 Oct, 2021

Data

Company Financials
FOSL fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation1/6
Future Growth0/6
Past Performance0/6
Financial Health5/6
Dividends0/6

FOSL Overview

Fossil Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, markets, and distributes consumer fashion accessories in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally.

Fossil Group Competitors

Lululemon Athletica

NasdaqGS:LULU

US$55.6b

V.F

NYSE:VFC

US$27.8b

Levi Strauss

NYSE:LEVI

US$10.6b

Under Armour

NYSE:UAA

US$9.2b

Price History & Performance

Summary of all time highs, changes and price drops for Fossil Group
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$12.18
52 Week HighUS$5.63
52 Week LowUS$28.60
Beta1.87
1 Month Change-8.83%
3 Month Change-0.082%
1 Year Change95.19%
3 Year Change-44.10%
5 Year Change-55.34%
Change since IPO647.41%

Recent News & Updates

Oct 01
Fossil Group's (NASDAQ:FOSL) Returns Have Hit A Wall

Fossil Group's (NASDAQ:FOSL) Returns Have Hit A Wall

If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Typically, we'll want to notice a...

Shareholder Returns

FOSLUS LuxuryUS Market
7D-1.9%3.1%1.9%
1Y95.2%32.1%33.4%

Return vs Industry: FOSL exceeded the US Luxury industry which returned 29.6% over the past year.

Return vs Market: FOSL exceeded the US Market which returned 30.3% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is FOSL's price volatile compared to industry and market?
FOSL volatility
FOSL Beta1.87
Industry Beta1.14
Market Beta1

Stable Share Price: FOSL is not significantly more volatile than the rest of US stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 7% a week.

Volatility Over Time: FOSL's weekly volatility has decreased from 18% to 7% over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
19847,500Kosta Kartsotishttps://www.fossilgroup.com

Fossil Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, markets, and distributes consumer fashion accessories in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company’s products include traditional watches, smartwatches, jewelry, handbags, small leather goods, belts, and sunglasses. It also manufactures and distributes private label brands, as well as purchases and resells branded products in non-FOSSIL branded retail stores.

Fossil Group Fundamentals Summary

How do Fossil Group's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
FOSL fundamental statistics
Market CapUS$635.11m
Earnings (TTM)-US$13.60m
Revenue (TTM)US$1.74b

0.4x

P/S Ratio

-46.7x

P/E Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report
FOSL income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$1.74b
Cost of RevenueUS$843.77m
Gross ProfitUS$893.83m
ExpensesUS$907.43m
Earnings-US$13.60m

Last Reported Earnings

Jul 03, 2021

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)-0.26
Gross Margin51.44%
Net Profit Margin-0.78%
Debt/Equity Ratio43.2%

How did FOSL perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Valuation

Is Fossil Group undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?

1.56x

Price to Book (PB) ratio


Share Price vs. Fair Value

Below Fair Value: FOSL ($12.18) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($8.43)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FOSL is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Price To Earnings Ratio

PE vs Industry: FOSL is unprofitable, so we can't compare its PE Ratio to the US Luxury industry average.

PE vs Market: FOSL is unprofitable, so we can't compare its PE Ratio to the US market.


Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

PEG Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate FOSL's PEG Ratio to determine if it is good value.


Price to Book Ratio

PB vs Industry: FOSL is good value based on its PB Ratio (1.6x) compared to the US Luxury industry average (2.3x).


Future Growth

How is Fossil Group forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 0 analysts?

17.2%

Forecasted Consumer Durables industry annual growth in earnings


In this section we usually present revenue and earnings growth projections based on the consensus estimates of professional analysts to help investors understand the company’s ability to generate profit. But as Fossil Group has not provided enough past data and has no analyst forecast, its future earnings cannot be reliably calculated by extrapolating past data or using analyst predictions.

This is quite a rare situation as 97% of companies covered by SimplyWall St do have past financial data.


Past Performance

How has Fossil Group performed over the past 5 years?

3.3%

Historical annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: FOSL is currently unprofitable.

Growing Profit Margin: FOSL is currently unprofitable.


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: FOSL is unprofitable, but has reduced losses over the past 5 years at a rate of 3.3% per year.

Accelerating Growth: Unable to compare FOSL's earnings growth over the past year to its 5-year average as it is currently unprofitable

Earnings vs Industry: FOSL is unprofitable, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Luxury industry (53.1%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: FOSL has a negative Return on Equity (-3.09%), as it is currently unprofitable.


Financial Health

How is Fossil Group's financial position?


Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: FOSL's short term assets ($949.2M) exceed its short term liabilities ($521.8M).

Long Term Liabilities: FOSL's short term assets ($949.2M) exceed its long term liabilities ($406.3M).


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: FOSL's debt to equity ratio (43.2%) is considered high.

Reducing Debt: FOSL's debt to equity ratio has reduced from 76.5% to 43.2% over the past 5 years.


Balance Sheet


Cash Runway Analysis

For companies that have on average been loss making in the past we assess whether they have at least 1 year of cash runway.

Stable Cash Runway: Whilst unprofitable FOSL has sufficient cash runway for more than 3 years if it maintains its current positive free cash flow level.

Forecast Cash Runway: FOSL is unprofitable but has sufficient cash runway for more than 3 years, even with free cash flow being positive and shrinking by 21.7% per year.


Dividend

What is Fossil Group current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?


Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: Unable to evaluate FOSL's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.

High Dividend: Unable to evaluate FOSL's dividend yield against the top 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.


Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if FOSL's dividends per share have been stable in the past.

Growing Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if FOSL's dividend payments have been increasing.


Current Payout to Shareholders

Dividend Coverage: Insufficient data to calculate payout ratio to determine if its dividend payments are covered by earnings.


Future Payout to Shareholders

Future Dividend Coverage: No need to calculate the sustainability of FOSL's dividend in 3 years as they are not forecast to pay a notable one for the US market.


Next Steps

Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

5.4yrs

Average management tenure


CEO

Kosta Kartsotis (68 yo)

21yrs

Tenure

Mr. Kosta N. Kartsotis has been the Chairman of the Board at Fossil Group, Inc. since May 2010, and its Chief Executive Officer since October 2000. Mr. Kartsotis served as the President since December 1991...


Leadership Team

Experienced Management: FOSL's management team is seasoned and experienced (5.4 years average tenure).


Board Members

Experienced Board: FOSL's board of directors are considered experienced (3.8 years average tenure).


Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?


Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: FOSL insiders have only sold shares in the past 3 months.


Recent Insider Transactions

Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.


Top Shareholders

Company Information

Fossil Group, Inc.'s employee growth, exchange listings and data sources


Key Information

  • Name: Fossil Group, Inc.
  • Ticker: FOSL
  • Exchange: NasdaqGS
  • Founded: 1984
  • Industry: Apparel, Accessories and Luxury Goods
  • Sector: Consumer Durables
  • Market Cap: US$635.114m
  • Shares outstanding: 52.14m
  • Website: https://www.fossilgroup.com

Number of Employees


Location

  • Fossil Group, Inc.
  • 901 South Central Expressway
  • Richardson
  • Texas
  • 75080
  • United States

Listings


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2021/10/25 23:11
End of Day Share Price2021/10/25 00:00
Earnings2021/07/03
Annual Earnings2021/01/02


Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.