The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Funko, Inc. (NASDAQ:FNKO) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Funko
How Much Debt Does Funko Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2023 Funko had debt of US$310.4m, up from US$168.9m in one year. On the flip side, it has US$34.8m in cash leading to net debt of about US$275.6m.
How Strong Is Funko's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Funko had liabilities of US$394.6m due within a year, and liabilities of US$330.7m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had US$34.8m in cash and US$161.3m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$529.2m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of US$413.1m, we think shareholders really should watch Funko's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Funko's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
In the last year Funko wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 10%, to US$1.3b. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.
Caveat Emptor
Over the last twelve months Funko produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost a very considerable US$66m at the EBIT level. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we're not particularly confident about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. Not least because it had negative free cash flow of US$100m over the last twelve months. That means it's on the risky side of things. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Funko (of which 1 is potentially serious!) you should know about.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGS:FNKO
Funko
A pop culture consumer products company, designs, sources, and distributes licensed pop culture products in the United States, Europe, and internationally.
Undervalued with moderate growth potential.