Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Crocs, Inc. (NASDAQ:CROX) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Crocs
What Is Crocs's Net Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of June 2021, Crocs had US$386.4m of debt, up from US$275.0m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have US$197.9m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$188.5m.
How Healthy Is Crocs' Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Crocs had liabilities of US$380.9m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$754.1m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$197.9m as well as receivables valued at US$249.1m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$688.1m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Since publicly traded Crocs shares are worth a total of US$8.54b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Crocs's net debt is only 0.35 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 56.8 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Even more impressive was the fact that Crocs grew its EBIT by 300% over twelve months. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Crocs's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Crocs produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 77% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
Our View
Happily, Crocs's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its EBIT growth rate is also very heartening. It looks Crocs has no trouble standing on its own two feet, and it has no reason to fear its lenders. For investing nerds like us its balance sheet is almost charming. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Crocs you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit unpleasant.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NasdaqGS:CROX
Crocs
Designs, develops, manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells casual lifestyle footwear and accessories for men, women, and children under the Crocs and HEYDUDE Brands in the United States and internationally.
Undervalued with solid track record.
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