Stock Analysis

We Think You Can Look Beyond TELUS International (Cda)'s (NYSE:TIXT) Lackluster Earnings

NYSE:TIXT
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The market was pleased with the recent earnings report from TELUS International (Cda) Inc. (NYSE:TIXT), despite the profit numbers being soft. We think that investors might be looking at some positive factors beyond the earnings numbers.

Check out our latest analysis for TELUS International (Cda)

earnings-and-revenue-history
NYSE:TIXT Earnings and Revenue History February 17th 2024

Examining Cashflow Against TELUS International (Cda)'s Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

Over the twelve months to December 2023, TELUS International (Cda) recorded an accrual ratio of -0.12. Therefore, its statutory earnings were quite a lot less than its free cashflow. In fact, it had free cash flow of US$409m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of US$54.0m. TELUS International (Cda)'s free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

TELUS International (Cda)'s profit was reduced by unusual items worth US$55m in the last twelve months, and this helped it produce high cash conversion, as reflected by its unusual items. This is what you'd expect to see where a company has a non-cash charge reducing paper profits. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. Assuming those unusual expenses don't come up again, we'd therefore expect TELUS International (Cda) to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal.

Our Take On TELUS International (Cda)'s Profit Performance

In conclusion, both TELUS International (Cda)'s accrual ratio and its unusual items suggest that its statutory earnings are probably reasonably conservative. Based on these factors, we think TELUS International (Cda)'s earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing TELUS International (Cda) at this point in time. Be aware that TELUS International (Cda) is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis and 1 of those shouldn't be ignored...

After our examination into the nature of TELUS International (Cda)'s profit, we've come away optimistic for the company. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether TELUS International (Cda) is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.