Stock Analysis

Is Paycom Software, Inc.'s (NYSE:PAYC) Recent Stock Performance Tethered To Its Strong Fundamentals?

NYSE:PAYC
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Most readers would already be aware that Paycom Software's (NYSE:PAYC) stock increased significantly by 20% over the past three months. Given the company's impressive performance, we decided to study its financial indicators more closely as a company's financial health over the long-term usually dictates market outcomes. Specifically, we decided to study Paycom Software's ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

View our latest analysis for Paycom Software

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) Γ· Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Paycom Software is:

33% = US$472m Γ· US$1.4b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. So, this means that for every $1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of $0.33.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

A Side By Side comparison of Paycom Software's Earnings Growth And 33% ROE

First thing first, we like that Paycom Software has an impressive ROE. Additionally, the company's ROE is higher compared to the industry average of 16% which is quite remarkable. Under the circumstances, Paycom Software's considerable five year net income growth of 23% was to be expected.

As a next step, we compared Paycom Software's net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 9.6%.

past-earnings-growth
NYSE:PAYC Past Earnings Growth September 23rd 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Paycom Software is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Paycom Software Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Paycom Software has a really low three-year median payout ratio of 18%, meaning that it has the remaining 82% left over to reinvest into its business. So it looks like Paycom Software is reinvesting profits heavily to grow its business, which shows in its earnings growth.

Along with seeing a growth in earnings, Paycom Software only recently started paying dividends. Its quite possible that the company was looking to impress its shareholders. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 16%. Regardless, Paycom Software's ROE is speculated to decline to 22% despite there being no anticipated change in its payout ratio.

Conclusion

In total, we are pretty happy with Paycom Software's performance. In particular, it's great to see that the company is investing heavily into its business and along with a high rate of return, that has resulted in a sizeable growth in its earnings. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.