Stock Analysis

Jacobs Solutions Inc. Just Recorded A 17% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

NYSE:J
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Jacobs Solutions Inc. (NYSE:J) just released its first-quarter report and things are looking bullish. It was overall a positive result, with revenues beating expectations by 4.1% to hit US$4.2b. Jacobs Solutions reported statutory earnings per share (EPS) US$1.37, which was a notable 17% above what the analysts had forecast. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Jacobs Solutions after the latest results.

Check out our latest analysis for Jacobs Solutions

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NYSE:J Earnings and Revenue Growth February 9th 2024

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Jacobs Solutions from eleven analysts is for revenues of US$17.4b in 2024. If met, it would imply a reasonable 4.4% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to expand 19% to US$6.75. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$17.3b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$6.87 in 2024. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

The analysts reconfirmed their price target of US$157, showing that the business is executing well and in line with expectations. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. There are some variant perceptions on Jacobs Solutions, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$176 and the most bearish at US$145 per share. Still, with such a tight range of estimates, it suggeststhe analysts have a pretty good idea of what they think the company is worth.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. The period to the end of 2024 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 5.9% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 6.1% annual growth over the past five years. Compare this with the broader industry, which analyst estimates (in aggregate) suggest will see revenues grow 6.3% annually. It's clear that while Jacobs Solutions' revenue growth is expected to continue on its current trajectory, it's only expected to grow in line with the industry itself.

The Bottom Line

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. They also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, with the company predicted to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have forecasts for Jacobs Solutions going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

That said, it's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Jacobs Solutions , and understanding this should be part of your investment process.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Jacobs Solutions is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.