MillerKnoll (MLKN): Assessing Valuation After a Steep 12-Month Share Price Decline

MillerKnoll (MLKN) has had a choppy stretch lately, with the stock down sharply over the past 3 months but inching higher in the past month, inviting a closer look at what investors might be missing.

See our latest analysis for MillerKnoll.

That bounce has barely dented the damage, with a 90 day share price return of negative 25.5 percent and a one year total shareholder return of negative 33.5 percent. This suggests recent optimism is more of a tentative reset rather than a firm trend shift.

If this kind of turnaround story has your attention, it might also be a good time to explore fast growing stocks with high insider ownership for other compelling ideas on your radar.

With shares trading near 16 dollars and analysts seeing more than double that, while profits remain under pressure despite solid revenue growth, is MillerKnoll quietly undervalued, or is the market already discounting its future recovery?

Most Popular Narrative Narrative: 54.4% Undervalued

With MillerKnoll last closing at 15.97 dollars against a narrative fair value of 35 dollars, the story hinges on a sharp profitability turnaround and disciplined discounting.

The analysts are assuming MillerKnoll's revenue will grow by 3.2% annually over the next 3 years. Analysts assume that profit margins will increase from -1.0% today to 7.3% in 3 years time.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious how a slow growing top line still supports such a steep jump in value? The secret lies in margin rebuild, earnings acceleration, and a surprisingly modest future profit multiple.

Result: Fair Value of $35 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, lingering tariff uncertainty and softer North America contract orders could easily derail the hoped-for margin rebuild and delay any sustained recovery.

Find out about the key risks to this MillerKnoll narrative.

Build Your Own MillerKnoll Narrative

If this perspective does not quite align with your own view, or you would rather dig into the numbers yourself, you can build a personalized narrative in just a few minutes, Do it your way.

A great starting point for your MillerKnoll research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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