Stock Analysis

Investors Don't See Light At End Of Matthews International Corporation's (NASDAQ:MATW) Tunnel

NasdaqGS:MATW
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With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x Matthews International Corporation (NASDAQ:MATW) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Commercial Services companies in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 1.2x and even P/S higher than 4x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Matthews International

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:MATW Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 15th 2024

What Does Matthews International's Recent Performance Look Like?

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Matthews International has been relatively sluggish. It seems that many are expecting the uninspiring revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the growth of the P/S ratio. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think Matthews International's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

Matthews International's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 6.1% last year. Revenue has also lifted 24% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the dual analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 1.8% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 8.7% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why Matthews International's P/S is falling short industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Final Word

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Matthews International's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Having said that, be aware Matthews International is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is potentially serious.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Matthews International, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Matthews International is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.