Stock Analysis

Liquidity Services' (NASDAQ:LQDT) Conservative Accounting Might Explain Soft Earnings

NasdaqGS:LQDT
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Investors were disappointed with the weak earnings posted by Liquidity Services, Inc. (NASDAQ:LQDT ). Despite the soft profit numbers, our analysis has optimistic about the overall quality of the income statement.

View our latest analysis for Liquidity Services

earnings-and-revenue-history
NasdaqGS:LQDT Earnings and Revenue History February 15th 2024

A Closer Look At Liquidity Services' Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Over the twelve months to December 2023, Liquidity Services recorded an accrual ratio of -0.36. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. In fact, it had free cash flow of US$43m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of US$18.9m. Liquidity Services' free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Liquidity Services' Profit Performance

As we discussed above, Liquidity Services' accrual ratio indicates strong conversion of profit to free cash flow, which is a positive for the company. Because of this, we think Liquidity Services' underlying earnings potential is as good as, or possibly even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! Better yet, its EPS are growing strongly, which is nice to see. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of Liquidity Services.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Liquidity Services' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.