Stock Analysis

Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A.'s (NYSE:SQM) Shares Lagging The Market But So Is The Business

NYSE:SQM
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Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A.'s (NYSE:SQM) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 5.5x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 17x and even P/E's above 33x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile has been very sluggish. It seems that many are expecting the dismal earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the earnings slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:SQM Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 18th 2023
Keen to find out how analysts think Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 3.8%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 1,559% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should bring diminished returns, with earnings decreasing 6.0% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 12% growth per annum, that's a disappointing outcome.

In light of this, it's understandable that Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.

The Bottom Line On Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile's P/E

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking earnings is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile (including 2 which are potentially serious).

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.