Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Regal Rexnord Corporation (NYSE:RRX) With Shares Advancing 28%

NYSE:RRX
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Regal Rexnord Corporation (NYSE:RRX) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 28% after a shaky period beforehand. Looking further back, the 25% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.

Even after such a large jump in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Regal Rexnord's P/S ratio of 1.7x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Electrical industry in the United States is also close to 1.6x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

See our latest analysis for Regal Rexnord

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:RRX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 22nd 2023

How Regal Rexnord Has Been Performing

Recent revenue growth for Regal Rexnord has been in line with the industry. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to show no drastic signs of changing, justifying the P/S being at current levels. If this is the case, then at least existing shareholders won't be losing sleep over the current share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Regal Rexnord.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Regal Rexnord?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Regal Rexnord's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 13% gain to the company's revenues. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 106% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 6.9% each year over the next three years. With the industry predicted to deliver 68% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

In light of this, it's curious that Regal Rexnord's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Key Takeaway

Regal Rexnord appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

When you consider that Regal Rexnord's revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for Regal Rexnord that you need to be mindful of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Regal Rexnord, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.