Stock Analysis

Lockheed Martin (LMT): Has the Recent Pullback Quietly Created a Valuation Opportunity?

Lockheed Martin (LMT) has been drifting lower this month, even as its underlying business keeps grinding forward with steady revenue and profit growth. That disconnect naturally raises the question: is the recent pullback overdone?

See our latest analysis for Lockheed Martin.

At around $446.8, the latest pullback has left Lockheed Martin with a negative year to date share price return. Its five year total shareholder return above 40% shows the longer term compounding story is still intact, suggesting momentum has cooled rather than disappeared.

If you want to see how other defense names are trading in this backdrop, it is worth exploring aerospace and defense stocks as a way to spot similar themes and potential opportunities.

With earnings still growing and the shares trading at a noticeable discount to analyst targets and intrinsic value estimates, investors may be wondering: has the recent slide quietly turned Lockheed Martin into a bargain, or is the market simply pricing in slower future growth?

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Most Popular Narrative Narrative: 15.4% Undervalued

With the most followed narrative placing fair value well above the recent 446.8 dollar close, the gap between model and market is hard to ignore.

Lockheed Martin continues to invest heavily in R&D and next-generation technologies, enabling it to maintain technological leadership and diversify future revenue streams, further supported by public-private partnerships (e.g., rare earth magnet supply chain). Together, these factors are expected to support sustainable earnings and cash flow growth over the long term.

Read the complete narrative.

Want to see what kind of revenue climb, margin rebuild, and future earnings multiple are needed to support that higher value, and why analysts think it holds?

Result: Fair Value of $528.17 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, sizable legacy program cost overruns and shifting U.S. defense budget priorities could still compress margins and derail the undervaluation thesis that investors are leaning on.

Find out about the key risks to this Lockheed Martin narrative.

Build Your Own Lockheed Martin Narrative

If you see the story differently or want to stress test the assumptions yourself, you can build a personalized view in just minutes with Do it your way.

A great starting point for your Lockheed Martin research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

About NYSE:LMT

Lockheed Martin

An aerospace and defense company, engages in the research, design, development, manufacture, integration, and sustainment of technology systems, products, and services worldwide.

Undervalued established dividend payer.

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