What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. So on that note, Herc Holdings (NYSE:HRI) looks quite promising in regards to its trends of return on capital.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Herc Holdings, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.097 = US$495m ÷ (US$5.7b - US$584m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2022).
Therefore, Herc Holdings has an ROCE of 9.7%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Trade Distributors industry average of 16%.
Our analysis indicates that HRI is potentially undervalued!
In the above chart we have measured Herc Holdings' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Herc Holdings here for free.
What Can We Tell From Herc Holdings' ROCE Trend?
While in absolute terms it isn't a high ROCE, it's promising to see that it has been moving in the right direction. The data shows that returns on capital have increased substantially over the last five years to 9.7%. Basically the business is earning more per dollar of capital invested and in addition to that, 59% more capital is being employed now too. So we're very much inspired by what we're seeing at Herc Holdings thanks to its ability to profitably reinvest capital.
The Bottom Line On Herc Holdings' ROCE
A company that is growing its returns on capital and can consistently reinvest in itself is a highly sought after trait, and that's what Herc Holdings has. And a remarkable 116% total return over the last five years tells us that investors are expecting more good things to come in the future. In light of that, we think it's worth looking further into this stock because if Herc Holdings can keep these trends up, it could have a bright future ahead.
On a final note, we've found 2 warning signs for Herc Holdings that we think you should be aware of.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:HRI
Herc Holdings
Operates as an equipment rental supplier in the United States and internationally.
Undervalued with moderate growth potential.