Hillenbrand, Inc. (NYSE:HI), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the NYSE. As a well-established company, which tends to be well-covered by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. However, could the stock still be trading at a relatively cheap price? Let’s take a look at Hillenbrand’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.
View our latest analysis for Hillenbrand
What's The Opportunity In Hillenbrand?
The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my valuation model. It’s trading around 6.26% above my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Hillenbrand today, you’d be paying a relatively fair price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is $41.31, there’s only an insignificant downside when the price falls to its real value. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Hillenbrand’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.
What does the future of Hillenbrand look like?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. With profit expected to grow by 29% over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for Hillenbrand. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? HI’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on HI, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
If you want to dive deeper into Hillenbrand, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. You'd be interested to know, that we found 1 warning sign for Hillenbrand and you'll want to know about this.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:HI
Hillenbrand
Operates as an industrial company in the United States and internationally.
Average dividend payer with moderate growth potential.
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