Stock Analysis

General Dynamics (GD) Valuation Check as Shares Cool After Strong Year-to-Date Rally

General Dynamics (GD) has quietly cooled off after a strong run this year, slipping about 3% over the past month even as its year to date gain still sits near 29%.

See our latest analysis for General Dynamics.

At around $337.49 per share, General Dynamics has eased back from recent highs. That softer 30 day share price return comes after a powerful year to date climb, with longer term total shareholder returns still suggesting momentum is cooling rather than collapsing.

If you are reassessing defense exposure after General Dynamics recent run, it might be worth scanning other aerospace and military names using our aerospace and defense stocks.

With shares just below record levels and trading at a modest discount to analyst targets and intrinsic value estimates, investors must decide: is General Dynamics still undervalued, or is the market already pricing in its future growth?

Most Popular Narrative: 11.4% Undervalued

With General Dynamics closing at $337.49 against a narrative fair value near $381, the story leans toward upside, but hinges on key growth engines.

Robust multi year order intake and record backlog driven largely by increased global defense spending and rising geopolitical instability provide strong visibility into future revenue growth across key segments, especially Marine and Aerospace. Accelerating investment in secure communications, IT modernization, and cyber defense solutions is fueling growth in the Mission Systems and GDIT divisions, aligning with increased government and enterprise focus on digital transformation and cyber resilience, which should support margin and earnings expansion as these mix shifts take hold.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious how steady but unspectacular growth assumptions and a richer profit mix add up to that higher value range? The narrative leans on disciplined margins, resilient defense budgets, and a future earnings multiple usually reserved for faster growing sectors. Want to see exactly how those moving pieces stack up into one cohesive valuation story?

Result: Fair Value of $380.80 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, sustained supply chain setbacks in shipbuilding and contract delays in the Technologies division could quickly dent margins and challenge the current upside thesis.

Find out about the key risks to this General Dynamics narrative.

Build Your Own General Dynamics Narrative

If this perspective does not fully align with your own view, or you prefer hands on research, you can craft a personalized thesis in minutes: Do it your way.

A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 5 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding General Dynamics.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

About NYSE:GD

General Dynamics

Operates as an aerospace and defense company worldwide.

Flawless balance sheet established dividend payer.

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