If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. However, after investigating AZEK (NYSE:AZEK), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for AZEK, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.033 = US$72m ÷ (US$2.4b - US$167m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).
So, AZEK has an ROCE of 3.3%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Building industry average of 15%.
Check out our latest analysis for AZEK
In the above chart we have measured AZEK's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for AZEK.
How Are Returns Trending?
The returns on capital haven't changed much for AZEK in recent years. The company has consistently earned 3.3% for the last five years, and the capital employed within the business has risen 36% in that time. This poor ROCE doesn't inspire confidence right now, and with the increase in capital employed, it's evident that the business isn't deploying the funds into high return investments.
The Bottom Line
In conclusion, AZEK has been investing more capital into the business, but returns on that capital haven't increased. Additionally, the stock's total return to shareholders over the last three years has been flat, which isn't too surprising. All in all, the inherent trends aren't typical of multi-baggers, so if that's what you're after, we think you might have more luck elsewhere.
AZEK does have some risks though, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for AZEK that you might be interested in.
While AZEK isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:AZEK
AZEK
Engages in the design, manufacturing, and selling of building products for residential, commercial, and industrial markets in the United States and Canada.
Solid track record with excellent balance sheet.