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Trex Company, Inc.NYSE:TREX Stock Report

Market Cap US$4.1b
Share Price
US$40.20
US$44.35
9.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
1Y-32.8%
7D-0.03%
Portfolio Value
View

Trex Company, Inc.

NYSE:TREX Stock Report

Market Cap: US$4.1b

Trex Company (TREX) Stock Overview

Manufactures and sells composite decking and railing products in the United States. More details

TREX fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation6/6
Future Growth0/6
Past Performance2/6
Financial Health5/6
Dividends0/6

TREX Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 13 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Trex Company, Inc. Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Trex Company
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$39.19
52 Week HighUS$68.78
52 Week LowUS$29.77
Beta1.51
1 Month Change10.55%
3 Month Change-10.93%
1 Year Change-32.78%
3 Year Change-32.54%
5 Year Change-61.22%
Change since IPO2,656.22%

Recent News & Updates

Analysis Article 1h

Results: Trex Company, Inc. Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts

Trex Company, Inc. ( NYSE:TREX ) last week reported its latest quarterly results, which makes it a good time for...
Narrative Update May 03

TREX: Contractor Demand And New Leadership Will Support Multi Year Rebound Potential

Analysts trimmed the blended price target for Trex Company by a small amount to $58. This reflects slightly higher discount rate assumptions and mixed recent research that includes modest target cuts alongside supportive contractor survey findings and updated models following the latest Q4 results and 2026 guidance.

Recent updates

Analysis Article 1h

Results: Trex Company, Inc. Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts

Trex Company, Inc. ( NYSE:TREX ) last week reported its latest quarterly results, which makes it a good time for...
Narrative Update May 03

TREX: Contractor Demand And New Leadership Will Support Multi Year Rebound Potential

Analysts trimmed the blended price target for Trex Company by a small amount to $58. This reflects slightly higher discount rate assumptions and mixed recent research that includes modest target cuts alongside supportive contractor survey findings and updated models following the latest Q4 results and 2026 guidance.
Narrative Update Apr 18

TREX: Contractor Demand And New Leadership Will Drive Long-Term Upside

Analysts nudged the Trex Company fair value estimate to $58.00 from $57.00, citing stronger contractor survey data, Q4 results that topped expectations, and updated models that reflect higher revenue growth, firmer profit margins, and a lower future P/E assumption. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates around Trex point to a cluster of higher price targets, an upgrade in rating, and generally constructive commentary following the latest Q4 report and 2026 outlook.
Narrative Update Apr 04

TREX: 2026 Guidance And Fire Safety Focus Will Shape Balanced Outlook

Analysts have nudged the fair value estimate for Trex Company in line with a wave of higher Street price targets in the $37.50 to $58 range, citing Q4 results, updated 2026 guidance, and management's focus on product innovation and category growth as key supports for their revised views. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Trex show a mixed but generally constructive tone, with many firms lifting price targets following the Q4 report and 2026 guidance.
Narrative Update Mar 21

TREX: 2026 Outlook And Fire Safety Products Will Balance Margin Concerns

Analysts have raised Trex Company's average price target into the low to mid $40s, citing better-than-expected Q4 results, 2026 guidance that is in line with or above prior models, and a stronger outlook for product innovation, margins, and category growth. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Trex Company skews constructive, with several firms lifting price targets into the low to high US$40s and US$50s range after the Q4 report and 2026 outlook.
Narrative Update Mar 06

TREX: Higher 2026 Outlook And Mixed Margin Confidence Will Shape Future Returns

We are lifting our Trex Company fair value estimate to $39 from $32, reflecting analysts' higher $39 to $58 price targets following the Q4 report and updated 2026 outlook, along with adjustments to our margin and discount rate assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Trex Company has centered on the Q4 report and the updated 2026 outlook, with a cluster of price target changes and rating moves across major firms.
Narrative Update Feb 20

TREX: Slower Revenue And Margin Recovery Will Restrain Future Upside Potential

Analysts have reset their fair value estimate for Trex Company to $32.00, reflecting updated assumptions for slower revenue growth and lower profit margins, while also acknowledging the potential for above-market expansion and strong margins cited in recent upgrades from multiple firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Trex Company reflects a split view, with several upgrades citing the potential for above market growth and solid margins, while other voices highlight valuation and execution risks that could limit upside from current levels.
Narrative Update Feb 06

TREX: Margin Strength New Products And Execution Risk Will Shape Returns

Narrative Update: Trex Company The analyst price target for Trex has been adjusted from US$42.80 to US$44.35, as analysts factor in expectations for revenue growth above the broader market, continued margin strength, and what they view as a discounted valuation relative to the company’s leading position in composite decking. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Trex highlight a mix of optimism around growth, margins, and valuation, balanced by some hesitation around execution and the time it may take for confidence to rebuild.
Seeking Alpha Jan 24

Trex: Soft Demand And Limited Upside In A Stubborn Repair And Remodel Downturn

Summary Trex Company faces persistent headwinds in repair and remodel demand, with shares down a third over the past year. Q3 results missed expectations, and management cut full-year guidance, citing ongoing consumer softness and channel inventory reductions. Margin expansion opportunities are constrained by rising SG&A, competitive pressures, and limited top-line growth until housing activity rebounds. At 15.1x EV/EBITDA and modest upside to consensus targets, I rate TREX a 'hold' given current risk/reward. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update Jan 23

TREX: Margin Recovery And Share Repurchases Will Drive Long-Term Upside

Analysts maintained their fair value estimate for Trex Company at US$57.00, citing recent upgrades and higher price targets that highlight confidence in the company’s ability to sustain attractive margins and reduce perceived risks around competition, pricing, and longer term earnings estimates. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Trex Company show a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms turning more positive on the shares while others highlight execution risks and softer demand trends.
Narrative Update Jan 09

TREX: Margin Recovery Share Buybacks And Mixed Outlook Will Shape Returns

The updated analyst price target for Trex Company has been revised slightly lower to US$42.80 from US$43.58, as analysts weigh a modestly reduced fair value and revenue growth outlook against higher assumed profit margins and a slightly lower future P/E multiple, following recent mixed rating changes and commentary on margins, demand, and valuation. Analyst Commentary Recent rating changes and target moves for Trex highlight a split view on how quickly the company can execute on its margin plans and regain growth momentum, and what that means for valuation from here.
Analysis Article Jan 02

Here's Why Trex Company (NYSE:TREX) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's...
Narrative Update Dec 25

TREX: Margin Recovery And Buybacks Will Support Long-Term Upside Potential

Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Trex Company from about $89.50 to $57.00 per share. This reflects lower expectations for revenue growth and margins amid softer demand, channel destocking, and a more competitive, marketing driven industry backdrop, even as some still highlight longer term margin recovery and cash flow support.
Narrative Update Dec 11

TREX: Margin Recovery And Buybacks Will Support Future Share Price Upside

Analysts made a modest downward revision to Trex Company's price target, trimming fair value by about $0.16, as recent downgrades, reduced price objectives, and concerns over softer demand and escalating competitive pressures tempered conviction in the near term, despite an improving long term margin and cash flow outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates present a mixed picture for Trex, as analysts weigh near term execution risks against a still constructive longer term growth and margin story.
Narrative Update Nov 27

TREX: Margin Recovery And Share Buyback Will Support Share Price Rebound

Analysts have lowered their average price target for Trex Company due to recent downgrades and cautious outlooks. Targets have dropped notably from prior highs as concerns over demand softness and competitive pressures weigh on sentiment.
Narrative Update Nov 11

TREX: Margin Recovery And Share Buyback Will Drive Upside Momentum

Analysts have sharply reduced their average price target for Trex Company from approximately $68 to $44. This change reflects concerns around lower growth forecasts, margin pressures, and a more challenging industry outlook following recent quarterly results and sector downgrades.
Analysis Article Nov 07

Trex Company, Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

It's shaping up to be a tough period for Trex Company, Inc. ( NYSE:TREX ), which a week ago released some disappointing...
Narrative Update Oct 28

Eco Friendly Home Improvement Trends Will Shape Composite Decking Demand Ahead

Analysts have modestly reduced their fair value estimate for Trex Company to $68.41 from $70.00, citing ongoing softness in core decking project growth. This is only partially offset by stable industry indicators and the company's strong market position.
Narrative Update Oct 13

Eco Friendly Trends Will Drive Composite Decking Demand

The analyst price target for Trex Company has been reduced by $2 to $70, as analysts cite a modest softening in reported growth, balanced by long-term strengths in the decking market. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst updates on Trex Company highlight a mix of optimism about the company's long-term prospects and caution regarding shorter-term market signals.
Analysis Article Sep 09

Calculating The Fair Value Of Trex Company, Inc. (NYSE:TREX)

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Trex Company fair value estimate is US$53.20 With US$63.14...
Analysis Article Jul 21

Here's Why Trex Company (NYSE:TREX) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's...
Analysis Article Jul 03

Shareholders Should Be Pleased With Trex Company, Inc.'s (NYSE:TREX) Price

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 32.1x Trex Company, Inc. ( NYSE:TREX ) may be sending very bearish signals...
Analysis Article Jun 15

Here's What's Concerning About Trex Company's (NYSE:TREX) Returns On Capital

There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Ideally, a business will show two...
Analysis Article Apr 30

Trex Company, Inc.'s (NYSE:TREX) CEO Will Probably Find It Hard To See A Huge Raise This Year

Key Insights Trex Company to hold its Annual General Meeting on 6th of May Total pay for CEO Bryan Fairbanks includes...
Analysis Article Apr 16

These 4 Measures Indicate That Trex Company (NYSE:TREX) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
Analysis Article Mar 18

Trex Company, Inc.'s (NYSE:TREX) Shares May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 27.3x Trex Company, Inc. ( NYSE:TREX ) may be sending very bearish signals...
Analysis Article Mar 03

Trex Company's (NYSE:TREX) Profits Appear To Have Quality Issues

Trex Company, Inc.'s ( NYSE:TREX ) healthy profit numbers didn't contain any surprises for investors. We believe that...
Analysis Article Feb 27

Earnings Update: Trex Company, Inc. (NYSE:TREX) Just Reported Its Yearly Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Forecasts

Last week, you might have seen that Trex Company, Inc. ( NYSE:TREX ) released its full-year result to the market. The...
Analysis Article Jan 28

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Trex Company, Inc. (NYSE:TREX)

Key Insights The projected fair value for Trex Company is US$71.65 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With...
Seeking Alpha Jan 19

Ignore Trex's Third Quarter: Better Revenue And Earnings Are Coming

Summary Trex Company, Inc. reported lower Q3 2024 revenue and earnings due to seasonal factors and high capex for its Arkansas plant, but growth is expected post-2025. The company’s competitive edge lies in its cost-efficient manufacturing process, its scale, and use of recycled materials. Despite current declines, Trex’s cost-cutting initiatives and increased capacity from the new plant position it for double-digit earnings growth by late 2025 or early 2026. With a one-year target price of $77.24, I maintain a Buy rating, anticipating strong growth once capex decreases and additional revenue streams kick in. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article Jan 15

Trex Company (NYSE:TREX) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Analysis Article Jan 02

What Does Trex Company, Inc.'s (NYSE:TREX) Share Price Indicate?

Trex Company, Inc. ( NYSE:TREX ), is not the largest company out there, but it received a lot of attention from a...
Analysis Article Dec 06

Trex Company (NYSE:TREX) Knows How To Allocate Capital

To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Typically, we'll want to...
Analysis Article Nov 24

Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Trex Company, Inc.'s (NYSE:TREX) Shares

When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 19x, you may...
Seeking Alpha Nov 04

Trex Company: The Bottom Is In (Rating Upgrade)

Summary With numerous headwinds in the rearview, market sentiment is improving for Trex Company. Trex has 3 tailwinds: growth in Restore & Remodel, a new opportunity in railing, and growth in FCF. At $70, Trex stock is undervalued by >15% compared to historical valuation metrics. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Shareholder Returns

TREXUS BuildingUS Market
7D-0.03%-1.3%2.1%
1Y-32.8%11.8%30.6%

Return vs Industry: TREX underperformed the US Building industry which returned 16.8% over the past year.

Return vs Market: TREX underperformed the US Market which returned 31% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is TREX's price volatile compared to industry and market?
TREX volatility
TREX Average Weekly Movement5.3%
Building Industry Average Movement6.0%
Market Average Movement7.2%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.1%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.2%

Stable Share Price: TREX has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: TREX's weekly volatility (5%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
19961,839Adam Zambaniniwww.trex.com

Trex Company, Inc. manufactures and sells composite decking and railing products in the United States. It offers decking products and accessories that can be used for protection against fading, staining, mold, and scratching, including Trex Transcend, which are decking products that can also be used as cladding; Trex Signature; Trex Transcend Lineage; Trex Select; Trex Enhance; Trex Hideaway fastener collection; and Trex DeckLighting, an outdoor lighting system that includes a post cap, deck rail, riser, a soffit, and a recessed deck lights. The company also offers railing products, such as Trex Signature X-Series Railing, Trex Signature aluminum railing, Trex Transcend Railing, Trex Select Railing, Trex Select T-Rail, Trex Enhance Railing; and fencing products, which includes Trex Seclusions that consists of structural posts, bottom rails, pickets, top rails, and decorative post caps.

Trex Company, Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do Trex Company's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
TREX fundamental statistics
Market capUS$4.15b
Earnings (TTM)US$191.38m
Revenue (TTM)US$1.18b
21.3x
P/E Ratio
3.5x
P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
TREX income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$1.18b
Cost of RevenueUS$716.42m
Gross ProfitUS$461.26m
Other ExpensesUS$269.87m
EarningsUS$191.38m

Last Reported Earnings

Mar 31, 2026

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)1.84
Gross Margin39.17%
Net Profit Margin16.25%
Debt/Equity Ratio38.4%

How did TREX perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/07 13:10
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/07 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Trex Company, Inc. is covered by 28 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Timothy WojsBaird
Matthew BouleyBarclays
Reuben GarnerBenchmark Company