Trex Company, Inc.

NYSE:TREX Stock Report

Market Cap: US$5.2b

Trex Company Dividends and Buybacks

Dividend criteria checks 0/6

Trex Company does not have a record of paying a dividend.

Key information

n/a

Dividend yield

2.9%

Buyback Yield

Total Shareholder Yield2.9%
Future Dividend Yield0%
Dividend Growthn/a
Next dividend pay daten/a
Ex dividend daten/a
Dividend per sharen/a
Payout ration/a

Recent dividend and buyback updates

Recent updates

Analysis Article Jun 18

Trex Company (TREX) Stock Could Be 30% Below Fair Value After Strait Of Hormuz Deal

The Trump administration’s new peace deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz sparked a broad move in materials and construction stocks, with Trex Company (TREX) climbing 3.3% as traders reassessed geopolitical risk exposure. See our latest analysis for Trex Company. While today’s reaction to the Strait of Hormuz peace deal grabbed attention, Trex Company’s recent performance tells a more mixed story, with the share price up 26.9% year to date but the 1-year total shareholder return down 13.6%...
Narrative Update Jun 16

TREX: 2026 Execution And Channel Risks Will Test Recent Upgrade Optimism

Analysts have raised the Trex Company price target to $50, citing what they view as compelling valuation and solid channel check data that support the updated outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Trex Company presents a mixed picture, with some firms pointing to supportive channel checks and valuation, while others trim price targets or express more cautious views on execution and growth expectations.
Narrative Update Jun 02

TREX: Execution Risks Around 2026 Plans Will Challenge Optimistic Sentiment

Analysts have trimmed the Trex Company fair value estimate from $39.00 to about $36.24, as a slightly higher discount rate offsets modest tweaks to revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions, even as recent research cites compelling valuation, solid channel checks and longer term product and category plans in updating views and price targets around the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent research around Trex Company highlights a mix of optimism on long term plans and caution on execution and valuation.
Seeking Alpha May 19

Trex Company: Growth Is Intact, Valuation Is The Problem

Summary Trex Company has outperformed the S&P 500, rising 20.6% since November, but I maintain a "Hold" rating. Revenue growth remains slow, with higher prices offset by lower volumes and margin compression due to fixed costs. Management is investing in AI, digital tools, and product innovation, targeting expansion in decking, railing, and adjacent markets. Despite long-term catalysts and a relatively low valuation versus peers, near-term profitability headwinds and economic uncertainty warrant caution. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article May 09

Results: Trex Company, Inc. Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts

Trex Company, Inc. ( NYSE:TREX ) last week reported its latest quarterly results, which makes it a good time for...
Narrative Update May 03

TREX: Contractor Demand And New Leadership Will Support Multi Year Rebound Potential

Analysts trimmed the blended price target for Trex Company by a small amount to $58. This reflects slightly higher discount rate assumptions and mixed recent research that includes modest target cuts alongside supportive contractor survey findings and updated models following the latest Q4 results and 2026 guidance.
Narrative Update Apr 18

TREX: Contractor Demand And New Leadership Will Drive Long-Term Upside

Analysts nudged the Trex Company fair value estimate to $58.00 from $57.00, citing stronger contractor survey data, Q4 results that topped expectations, and updated models that reflect higher revenue growth, firmer profit margins, and a lower future P/E assumption. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates around Trex point to a cluster of higher price targets, an upgrade in rating, and generally constructive commentary following the latest Q4 report and 2026 outlook.
Narrative Update Apr 04

TREX: 2026 Guidance And Fire Safety Focus Will Shape Balanced Outlook

Analysts have nudged the fair value estimate for Trex Company in line with a wave of higher Street price targets in the $37.50 to $58 range, citing Q4 results, updated 2026 guidance, and management's focus on product innovation and category growth as key supports for their revised views. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Trex show a mixed but generally constructive tone, with many firms lifting price targets following the Q4 report and 2026 guidance.
Narrative Update Mar 21

TREX: 2026 Outlook And Fire Safety Products Will Balance Margin Concerns

Analysts have raised Trex Company's average price target into the low to mid $40s, citing better-than-expected Q4 results, 2026 guidance that is in line with or above prior models, and a stronger outlook for product innovation, margins, and category growth. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Trex Company skews constructive, with several firms lifting price targets into the low to high US$40s and US$50s range after the Q4 report and 2026 outlook.
Narrative Update Mar 06

TREX: Higher 2026 Outlook And Mixed Margin Confidence Will Shape Future Returns

We are lifting our Trex Company fair value estimate to $39 from $32, reflecting analysts' higher $39 to $58 price targets following the Q4 report and updated 2026 outlook, along with adjustments to our margin and discount rate assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Trex Company has centered on the Q4 report and the updated 2026 outlook, with a cluster of price target changes and rating moves across major firms.
Narrative Update Feb 20

TREX: Slower Revenue And Margin Recovery Will Restrain Future Upside Potential

Analysts have reset their fair value estimate for Trex Company to $32.00, reflecting updated assumptions for slower revenue growth and lower profit margins, while also acknowledging the potential for above-market expansion and strong margins cited in recent upgrades from multiple firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Trex Company reflects a split view, with several upgrades citing the potential for above market growth and solid margins, while other voices highlight valuation and execution risks that could limit upside from current levels.
Narrative Update Feb 06

TREX: Margin Strength New Products And Execution Risk Will Shape Returns

Narrative Update: Trex Company The analyst price target for Trex has been adjusted from US$42.80 to US$44.35, as analysts factor in expectations for revenue growth above the broader market, continued margin strength, and what they view as a discounted valuation relative to the company’s leading position in composite decking. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Trex highlight a mix of optimism around growth, margins, and valuation, balanced by some hesitation around execution and the time it may take for confidence to rebuild.
Narrative Update Jan 23

TREX: Margin Recovery And Share Repurchases Will Drive Long-Term Upside

Analysts maintained their fair value estimate for Trex Company at US$57.00, citing recent upgrades and higher price targets that highlight confidence in the company’s ability to sustain attractive margins and reduce perceived risks around competition, pricing, and longer term earnings estimates. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Trex Company show a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms turning more positive on the shares while others highlight execution risks and softer demand trends.
Narrative Update Jan 09

TREX: Margin Recovery Share Buybacks And Mixed Outlook Will Shape Returns

The updated analyst price target for Trex Company has been revised slightly lower to US$42.80 from US$43.58, as analysts weigh a modestly reduced fair value and revenue growth outlook against higher assumed profit margins and a slightly lower future P/E multiple, following recent mixed rating changes and commentary on margins, demand, and valuation. Analyst Commentary Recent rating changes and target moves for Trex highlight a split view on how quickly the company can execute on its margin plans and regain growth momentum, and what that means for valuation from here.
Analysis Article Jan 02

Here's Why Trex Company (NYSE:TREX) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's...
Narrative Update Dec 25

TREX: Margin Recovery And Buybacks Will Support Long-Term Upside Potential

Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Trex Company from about $89.50 to $57.00 per share. This reflects lower expectations for revenue growth and margins amid softer demand, channel destocking, and a more competitive, marketing driven industry backdrop, even as some still highlight longer term margin recovery and cash flow support.
Narrative Update Dec 11

TREX: Margin Recovery And Buybacks Will Support Future Share Price Upside

Analysts made a modest downward revision to Trex Company's price target, trimming fair value by about $0.16, as recent downgrades, reduced price objectives, and concerns over softer demand and escalating competitive pressures tempered conviction in the near term, despite an improving long term margin and cash flow outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates present a mixed picture for Trex, as analysts weigh near term execution risks against a still constructive longer term growth and margin story.
Narrative Update Nov 27

TREX: Margin Recovery And Share Buyback Will Support Share Price Rebound

Analysts have lowered their average price target for Trex Company due to recent downgrades and cautious outlooks. Targets have dropped notably from prior highs as concerns over demand softness and competitive pressures weigh on sentiment.
Narrative Update Nov 11

TREX: Margin Recovery And Share Buyback Will Drive Upside Momentum

Analysts have sharply reduced their average price target for Trex Company from approximately $68 to $44. This change reflects concerns around lower growth forecasts, margin pressures, and a more challenging industry outlook following recent quarterly results and sector downgrades.
Analysis Article Nov 07

Trex Company, Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

It's shaping up to be a tough period for Trex Company, Inc. ( NYSE:TREX ), which a week ago released some disappointing...
Narrative Update Oct 28

Eco Friendly Home Improvement Trends Will Shape Composite Decking Demand Ahead

Analysts have modestly reduced their fair value estimate for Trex Company to $68.41 from $70.00, citing ongoing softness in core decking project growth. This is only partially offset by stable industry indicators and the company's strong market position.
Narrative Update Oct 13

Eco Friendly Trends Will Drive Composite Decking Demand

The analyst price target for Trex Company has been reduced by $2 to $70, as analysts cite a modest softening in reported growth, balanced by long-term strengths in the decking market. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst updates on Trex Company highlight a mix of optimism about the company's long-term prospects and caution regarding shorter-term market signals.
Analysis Article Sep 09

Calculating The Fair Value Of Trex Company, Inc. (NYSE:TREX)

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Trex Company fair value estimate is US$53.20 With US$63.14...
Analysis Article Jul 21

Here's Why Trex Company (NYSE:TREX) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's...
Analysis Article Jul 03

Shareholders Should Be Pleased With Trex Company, Inc.'s (NYSE:TREX) Price

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 32.1x Trex Company, Inc. ( NYSE:TREX ) may be sending very bearish signals...
Seeking Alpha Jan 19

Ignore Trex's Third Quarter: Better Revenue And Earnings Are Coming

Summary Trex Company, Inc. reported lower Q3 2024 revenue and earnings due to seasonal factors and high capex for its Arkansas plant, but growth is expected post-2025. The company’s competitive edge lies in its cost-efficient manufacturing process, its scale, and use of recycled materials. Despite current declines, Trex’s cost-cutting initiatives and increased capacity from the new plant position it for double-digit earnings growth by late 2025 or early 2026. With a one-year target price of $77.24, I maintain a Buy rating, anticipating strong growth once capex decreases and additional revenue streams kick in. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Stability and Growth of Payments

Fetching dividends data

Stable Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if TREX's dividends per share have been stable in the past.

Growing Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if TREX's dividend payments have been increasing.


Dividend Yield vs Market

Trex Company Dividend Yield vs Market
How does TREX dividend yield compare to the market?
SegmentDividend Yield
Company (TREX)n/a
Market Bottom 25% (US)1.4%
Market Top 25% (US)4.1%
Industry Average (Building)1.1%
Analyst forecast (TREX) (up to 3 years)0%

Notable Dividend: Unable to evaluate TREX's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.

High Dividend: Unable to evaluate TREX's dividend yield against the top 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.


Earnings Payout to Shareholders

Earnings Coverage: Insufficient data to calculate TREX's payout ratio to determine if its dividend payments are covered by earnings.


Cash Payout to Shareholders

Cash Flow Coverage: Unable to calculate sustainability of dividends as TREX has not reported any payouts.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/26 03:51
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/26 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Trex Company, Inc. is covered by 28 analysts. 18 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Timothy WojsBaird
Matthew BouleyBarclays
Reuben GarnerBenchmark Company