Stock Analysis

Little Excitement Around VirTra, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:VTSI) Earnings As Shares Take 27% Pounding

NasdaqCM:VTSI
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To the annoyance of some shareholders, VirTra, Inc. (NASDAQ:VTSI) shares are down a considerable 27% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. Indeed, the recent drop has reduced its annual gain to a relatively sedate 3.4% over the last twelve months.

Although its price has dipped substantially, given about half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 19x, you may still consider VirTra as an attractive investment with its 10.4x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Recent times have been pleasing for VirTra as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for VirTra

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:VTSI Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 27th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on VirTra.

Is There Any Growth For VirTra?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like VirTra's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 50% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 42% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to slump, contracting by 44% during the coming year according to the two analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the broader market is forecast to expand by 15%, which paints a poor picture.

With this information, we are not surprised that VirTra is trading at a P/E lower than the market. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.

What We Can Learn From VirTra's P/E?

VirTra's P/E has taken a tumble along with its share price. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of VirTra's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking earnings is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for VirTra (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.